Ukraine - Hungary prediction 5 October 2026
Ukraine
HungaryUkraineHungaryUkraine
Northern IrelandGeorgiaUkraineHungaryUkraineDenmarkUkrainePolandUkraineUkraineAlbaniaUkraineSwedenNew ZealandUkraineCanadaUkraineBelgiumUkraineUkraineBelgiumAlbaniaUkraineGeorgiaUkraineUkraineCzech RepublicUkraineHungaryHungaryGeorgiaNorthern IrelandHungaryHungaryUkraineHungaryKazakhstanHungaryFinlandHungaryGreeceHungarySloveniaAzerbaijanHungaryHungarySwedenHungaryTurkeyTurkeyHungaryHungaryGermanyNetherlandsHungaryBosnia-HerzegovinaHungary- 5E. SarapiyD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 27O. OcheretkoM
- 10V. VeletenM
- 11V. TsygankovM
- 27I. KrupskyiM
- 95I. KrasnopirF
- 32T. MykhavkoD
- 11M. PonomarenkoF
- 1A. TrubinG
- 29E. NazarynaM
- 31D. Riznyk
- 19V. Vanat
- 14O. Drambaev
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 33M. Khlan
- 6V. Brazhko
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 1H. Ermakov
- 8O. Pikhalyonok
- 7O. Nazarenko
- 5V. Bondar
- 11R. Yaremchuk
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 4W. OrbรกnD
- 77M. TรณthF
- 27M. VitรกlisD
- 22B. TรณthG
- 14A. OsvรกthD
- 18Z. NagyM
- 13A. SchรคferM
- 4M. CsingerD
- 27A. TรณthM
- 8D. LukacsM
- 14ร. Doktorics
- 4B. Vรกrkonyi
- 14ร. Csongvai
- 77B. Bolla
- 77D. Bรกrรกny
- 1B. Gundel-Takรกcs
- 7J. Szalai
- 11G. Jurek
- 21Tamรกs Szรผcs
- 91ร. Pรฉcsi
- 66R.Tรณth
- 6A. Markgrรกf
UkraineHungaryHungaryUkraine| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Hungary vs Ukraine Prediction (Oct 5)
The Hungary vs Ukraine prediction for this UEFA Nations League clash on October 5, 2026, points to a tight contest. The match kicks off at 19:45 at ล tadiรณn Antona Malatinskรฉho in Trnava, with Ukraine entering as a narrow favorite with a 38% win probability.
Team Form
Ukraine's last five matches show inconsistency: a 0-3 home loss to Northern Ireland, a 0-0 draw at Georgia, a 1-0 win at Hungary, a 2-1 loss at Denmark, and a 2-0 win at Poland. That's two wins, one draw, and two defeats.
Hungary's recent form is slightly stronger, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat Georgia 1-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Northern Ireland, lost 0-1 at home to Ukraine, and then defeated Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in friendlies.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before, on September 25, 2026, in the same competition. Ukraine won that away fixture 1-0. The head-to-head record stands at one win for Ukraine, no draws, and no wins for Hungary.
Win Probability: Hungary or Ukraine?
Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Ukraine has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hungary has a 32% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a very close match, but Ukraine's head-to-head victory and slightly better defensive record in that encounter give them a marginal edge. Hungary's stronger recent form keeps the contest balanced.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as an open game. The best available odds show a home win (Ukraine) at 2.72, a draw at 3.13, and an away win (Hungary) at 3.08. These odds translate into a near-even probability distribution. Considering the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Ukraine victory, but a draw or a Hungary win cannot be ruled out. The Hungary vs Ukraine prediction is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals a plausible bet.
Hungary vs Ukraine โ FAQ
- Who will win Hungary vs Ukraine?
- Ukraine is the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, compared to 32% for Hungary and a 30% chance of a draw. The match is expected to be very close, but Ukraine's head-to-head win in September 2026 gives them a narrow advantage.
- What is the win probability for Ukraine?
- Ukraine has a 38% chance of winning this UEFA Nations League match. This estimate is based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and their 1-0 victory in the only previous meeting with Hungary.
- When is the Hungary vs Ukraine match?
- The match is on October 5, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture being played at ล tadiรณn Antona Malatinskรฉho in Trnava.
- What are the odds for Hungary vs Ukraine?
- The 1X2 odds for this match are: Ukraine (home) win at 2.72, draw at 3.13, and Hungary (away) win at 3.08. These odds reflect a very evenly matched contest.