Macarthur Rams - Hurstville FC prediction 25 July 2026
Macarthur Rams
Hurstville FC
Canterbury Bankstown BerriesMacarthur RamsNorthern TigersMacarthur RamsMacarthur RamsBlacktown SpartansDulwich HillMacarthur RamsBulls AcademyMacarthur RamsMacarthur RamsHurstville FCProspect UnitedMacarthur RamsMacarthur RamsBankstown City LionsMacarthur RamsInter Lions SCMacarthur RamsHakoah Sydney City EastNewcastle Jets YouthMacarthur RamsMacarthur RamsHills United BrumbiesRydalmere LionsMacarthur RamsMacarthur RamsCentral Coast Mariners 2Mount Druitt Town RangersMacarthur RamsProspect UnitedHurstville FCBlacktown SpartansHurstville FCBankstown City LionsHurstville FCHurstville FCNorthern TigersMacarthur RamsHurstville FCHurstville FCDulwich HillHakoah Sydney City EastHurstville FCHurstville FCCanterbury Bankstown BerriesHurstville FCHills United BrumbiesBulls AcademyHurstville FCHurstville FCMount Druitt Town RangersInter Lions SCHurstville FCHurstville FCRydalmere LionsNewcastle Jets YouthHurstville FCHurstville FCProspect UnitedMacarthur RamsHurstville FCHurstville FCMacarthur Rams| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Blacktown Spartans | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 79:36 | +43 | 69 |
| 2 |  Northern Tigers | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:30 | +25 | 59 |
| 3 |  Bankstown City Lions | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 65:45 | +20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Canterbury Bankstown Berries | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 71:53 | +18 | 51 |
| 5 |  Hills United Brumbies | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 62:45 | +17 | 49 |
| 6 | Macarthur Rams | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 40:36 | +4 | 48 |
| 7 |  Hakoah Sydney City East | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 62:50 | +12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Rydalmere Lions | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:46 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 |  Bulls Academy | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 52:50 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |  Inter Lions SC | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:54 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 |  Central Coast Mariners 2 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 46:67 | -21 | 31 |
| 13 |  Dulwich Hill | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 40:58 | -18 | 30 |
| 14 |  Newcastle Jets Youth | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 55:73 | -18 | 29 |
| 15 |  Prospect United | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 33:52 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 |  Mount Druitt Town Rangers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 35:69 | -34 | 23 |
Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC Prediction (Jul 25)
Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC prediction for the NSW League 1 match on July 25, 2026, at 06:30. Based on the latest form, league table, and head-to-head stats, Macarthur Rams enter this contest as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Hurstville FC have a 25% chance and the draw sits at 35%.
Team Form
Macarthur Rams are in solid shape, unbeaten in their last five matches (W-D-W-D-W). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win at Prospect United on July 17. At home, they drew 1-1 with Bankstown City Lions on July 10 and beat Inter Lions SC 3-2 on July 4, showing they can both score and grind out results.
Hurstville FCโs form is mixed: W-D-L-W-L across the last five. They claimed a 3-1 home win over Dulwich Hill on July 17 but suffered a heavy 4-1 away defeat at Bulls Academy on June 20. Their away performances have been inconsistent, with only one point from the last two road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides took place on April 11, 2026, when Hurstville FC won 2-0 at home. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge, but with Macarthur Rams now hosting, the dynamics are different.
League Table Positions
Macarthur Rams sit 4th in the NSW League 1 overall standings with 42 points from 24 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). Hurstville FC are 10th with 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). The 12-point gap highlights the hostsโ stronger campaign. At home, Macarthur Rams have collected 20 points from 13 games (5 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses), while Hurstvilleโs away record is reflected in their overall lower position.
Win Probability: Macarthur Rams or Hurstville FC?
After analyzing the odds, recent form, H2H, and league positions, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- Macarthur Rams win: 40%
- Draw: 35%
- Hurstville FC win: 25%
The odds implied a tight contest, but Macarthurโs superior league standing, unbeaten run, and home advantage tilt the balance in their favor. Hurstvilleโs away struggles and the 12-point gap make an away win less likely, though their earlier H2H victory keeps the draw probability elevated.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ 1X2 odds for this fixture include a home win priced at 2.70, a draw at 2.25, and an away win at 3.30. These odds suggest the draw is the most probable single outcome in the marketโs view, but our adjusted model gives Macarthur Rams the edge. Based on the stats, the safest prediction is a home win or draw double chance, with Macarthur Rams likely to avoid defeat.
Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC?
- Macarthur Rams have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Hurstville FC have a 25% chance. The hostsโ stronger league position and unbeaten run make them the most likely winner, but a draw is also a realistic outcome.
- What is the win probability for Macarthur Rams?
- Macarthur Rams have a 40% win probability. This is based on their 4th-place standing, a five-match unbeaten streak, and home advantage, adjusted from the bookmaker odds that initially implied a 33% chance.
- When is the Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC match?
- The match kicks off on July 25, 2026, at 06:30. It is an NSW League 1 fixture in Australia.
- What are the odds for Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville FC?
- Selected 1X2 odds are: Macarthur Rams 2.70, Draw 2.25, Hurstville FC 3.30. These prices reflect a closely matched contest according to the bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between Macarthur Rams and Hurstville FC?
- The teams have met once before, on April 11, 2026, with Hurstville FC winning 2-0 at home. That remains the only H2H result to date.