IBV Vestmannaeyja Women - Stjarnan Women prediction 23 October 2026

The IBV Vestmannaeyja Women vs Stjarnan Women prediction for August 13, 2026, points to an away win. Stjarnan Women enter this Premier League Women clash as the favorite with a 41% win probability, while IBV Vestmannaeyja Women have a 33% chance and the draw is at 26%. The match kicks off at 18:00.

Team Form

IBV Vestmannaeyja Women are struggling, with only one win in their last five matches (W, L, L, D, L). They lost 4-2 away to Grindavik Women on Aug 07, drew 2-2 at home against FH Hafnarfjodur Women on Jul 29, and suffered a 1-0 cup defeat at Throttur Reykjavik Women on Jul 24. A 2-1 loss at Thor Akureyri Women on Jul 19 and a 2-1 home win over Valur Reykjavik Women on Jul 15 complete the sequence.

Stjarnan Women's recent form is mixed but steadier: two draws, one loss, one win, and one draw (D, D, L, W, D). They drew 1-1 at home with Throttur Reykjavik Women on Aug 06, played a 0-0 home draw against Grindavik Women on Jul 28, and lost 7-3 away to FH Hafnarfjodur Women on Jul 21. A 3-2 home win over Thor Akureyri Women on Jul 14 and a 1-1 away draw at Valur Reykjavik Women on Jul 10 round out their recent results.

Head-to-Head Record

Stjarnan Women dominate the H2H with 18 wins to IBV Vestmannaeyja Women's 4, plus 11 draws. The most recent meeting, on May 30, 2026, saw Stjarnan Women win 2-0 at home. In the last five encounters, Stjarnan Women won all five: 2-0 (May 2026), 2-1 (Jul 2023), 1-0 (May 2023), 3-1 (Mar 2023, Cup), and 4-0 (Jun 2022). IBV Vestmannaeyja Women have not beaten Stjarnan Women in any of these recent matches.

League Table Positions

Stjarnan Women sit 5th in the Premier League Women overall standings with 25 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses, 29 goals scored, 32 conceded). IBV Vestmannaeyja Women are not in the top 10, meaning they are lower in the table. At home, Stjarnan Women are strong: 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). However, their away form is poor — 8th with only 6 points from 8 away matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses). IBV Vestmannaeyja Women's home record is not listed in the top 8, indicating a weak home standing.

Win Probability: IBV Vestmannaeyja Women or Stjarnan Women?

Based on the available odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, the win probabilities are: IBV Vestmannaeyja Women 33%, draw 26%, Stjarnan Women 41%. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.00, draw 2.50, away 2.50) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Adjustments were made for Stjarnan Women's overwhelming H2H dominance (18 wins vs 4) and IBV's poor recent form (one win in five). Stjarnan Women are more likely to win, but their weak away record (2 wins in 8) keeps the draw probability significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close contest. The best odds available are: IBV Vestmannaeyja Women win at 3.00, draw at 2.50, and Stjarnan Women win at 2.50. The odds imply a slight edge for Stjarnan Women and the draw over a home victory. Based on the stats, Stjarnan Women's historical control and slightly better recent form make them the predicted winner, though a draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' inconsistent results.