IFK Goteborg Women - IF Elfsborg Women prediction 26 September 2026

The IFK Goteborg Women vs IF Elfsborg Women prediction for September 26, 2026, sees the Elitettan Women leaders, IF Elfsborg, visit third-placed IFK Goteborg. Based on the latest stats, the away side holds a slight edge with a 38% win probability, while the hosts have a 32% chance—making this a finely balanced contest with a 30% draw likelihood.

Team Form

IFK Goteborg Women have had mixed results in their last five matches (most recent first): L, D, L, W, W. A 5-1 away loss to KIF Orebro on September 19 was followed by a 1-1 home draw against Jitex and a 0-2 cup defeat to BK Hacken. Before that, they beat Husqvarna 2-1 and Linkoping 4-1. At home, the team has been solid (7W-1D-1L) with 23 goals scored and only 9 conceded, but the recent dip is a concern.

IF Elfsborg Women arrive in better form: W, W, D, W, L. They shut out Sandvikens 1-0 at home, won 3-2 at Linkoping, drew 1-1 at Umea, beat BK Hacken B 2-1, and only lost 0-2 at home to KIF Orebro—a result that remains an outlier. Away from home, Elfsborg are yet to taste defeat this season (7 wins, 2 draws), with a staggering 21 goals scored and just 4 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice before. IF Elfsborg Women have the psychological edge with one win and one draw, while IFK Goteborg Women are yet to win this fixture. Their most recent league clash, on June 13, 2026, ended 1-1 at Elfsborg. A friendly in March 2025 finished 5-1 to Elfsborg. Across both meetings, IF Elfsborg have scored 6 goals and conceded 2.

League Table Positions

In the Elitettan Women overall standings, IF Elfsborg Women sit 1st with 44 points (13 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss), while IFK Goteborg Women are 3rd with 41 points (12 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). The home/away splits highlight the battle: Goteborg are 2nd in the home table (22 points, 7-1-1), and Elfsborg top the away table (23 points, 7-2-0). The visitors’ defensive record—only 4 away goals conceded—is exceptional, but Goteborg’s 2.55 goals per home game shows they can trouble any defence.

Win Probability: IFK Goteborg or IF Elfsborg?

After weighing the available data, here is the mandatory probability breakdown for this match:

• IFK Goteborg Women win: 32%
• Draw: 30%
• IF Elfsborg Women win: 38%

This calculation is based on several factors: IF Elfsborg’s superior league position (1st vs 3rd), their unbeaten away record this season, the head-to-head record (Elfsborg unbeaten in two meetings), and their slightly better recent form. However, IFK Goteborg’s powerful home record (only one loss all season) and the need to close the 3-point gap at the top reduce the visitors’ advantage. The result is a tight split, with Elfsborg only narrowly more likely to leave with all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds data is currently unavailable for this match from the source. Based entirely on the statistics, the prediction leans towards an away win or a draw. IF Elfsborg Women’s rock-solid away performances make them the team more likely to win, but IFK Goteborg Women’s home strength and the 1-1 draw earlier this season suggest that a stalemate is also a very realistic outcome. Punters looking for betting tips should consider the “Double Chance: Elfsborg or Draw” market if available, given the 68% combined probability for those two outcomes.