IFK Norrkoping - Ostersunds FK prediction 31 October 2026

The IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK prediction for the Superettan match on Oct 31, 2026, points to a home win. IFK Norrkoping enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and Ostersunds FK at 20%. This forecast is based on the available odds, league table, recent form and head-to-head record.

Team Form

IFK Norrkoping are in strong shape with a recent form line of W, D, W, D, W. In the Superettan, they won 4-0 at Norrby IF on Oct 25, drew 2-2 with Orebro SK on Oct 20, beat GIF Sundsvall 4-0 on Oct 13, and won 3-1 at Osters IF on Sep 19. That is 13 goals scored in the last four Superettan matches. The 0-0 draw with Kalmar FF on Oct 6 was a friendly.

Ostersunds FK are unbeaten in their last five matches, but their recent form line is W, D, D, D, W. They beat United IK Nordic 4-1 on Oct 24, drew 0-0 at Sandvikens IF on Oct 17, drew 1-1 with Varbergs BoIS on Oct 10, drew 0-0 at Falkenbergs FF on Sep 18, and beat Helsingborg 1-0 on Sep 14. Only five goals were scored by Ostersunds FK in their last four league outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, IFK Norrkoping lead with 10 wins to Ostersunds FK's 5 wins, with 2 draws. Recent meetings also favor the home side: IFK Norrkoping won 2-0 away at Ostersunds FK in the Superettan on Jun 21, 2026, won 3-0 on Aug 29, 2021 and won 2-1 on Aug 15, 2021 in Allsvenskan. The only recent draw came in a friendly on Mar 18, 2023, ending 0-0.

League Table Positions

IFK Norrkoping sit first in the Superettan table with 62 points from 28 matches: 19 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, 58 goals scored and 18 conceded. Ostersunds FK are third with 48 points from 28 games: 12 wins, 12 draws, 4 losses, 38 goals scored and 26 conceded. The gap between the teams is 14 points.

The home/away split strengthens the case for the hosts. IFK Norrkoping are second in the home table with 28 points from 14 home games (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses; goals 30:10). Ostersunds FK are seventh in the away table with 19 points from 14 away matches (4 wins, 7 draws, 3 losses; goals 16:13). Ostersunds FK’s seven away draws stand out.

Win Probability: IFK Norrkoping or Ostersunds FK?

Based on the odds and adjusted for form, table position, home advantage and the head-to-head record, IFK Norrkoping has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Ostersunds FK has a 20% chance. The raw odds as inverse probabilities give IFK Norrkoping a smaller edge, but the 14-point gap, a much better goal difference and dominant recent H2H results support the higher home probability.

Ostersunds FK remain a draw-heavy away side, so the draw at 25% should not be discounted. However, IFK Norrkoping’s home form and overall quality make them the most likely match outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds in the data vary by bookmaker: IFK Norrkoping are priced between 1.95 and 2.05, the draw between 2.25 and 3.20, and Ostersunds FK between 3.05 and 3.60. Bookmakers see IFK Norrkoping as the favorite, which matches the league positions and form.

Final match prediction: IFK Norrkoping are the more likely winners. A home win is the best betting tip based on the stats, but Ostersunds FK’s away resilience means the margin may be narrower than the table suggests.