Ilisiakos - Saronikos prediction 4 October 2026

Ilisiakos vs Saronikos prediction for the Gamma Ethniki match on Feb 15, 2026. The game ended 1-0 in favor of Ilisiakos, but before kickoff our analysis gave the home side a 55% probability to win, with Saronikos at 20% and a draw at 25%. Here is the full pre-match breakdown based on team form, head-to-head record, and league context.

Team Form

Ilisiakos entered this fixture in strong form, winning four of their last five matches (W, L, W, W, W). Their only recent defeat came at home against Giouchtas on Apr 5, but they bounced back with a crucial 2-1 away win at Atsalenios. Saronikos, by contrast, managed only one victory in their previous five outings (W, L, L, D, L). Their sole win came in a Regional Cup tie against Palavreotikos, while league results included losses to Kyanous Asteras Varis and Ethnikos Piraeus, plus a draw at Ionikos Nicea. The away side's inconsistent performances suggested they would struggle to impose themselves at Ilisiakos.

Head-to-Head Record

Before this encounter, the two sides had met only once: a 1-1 draw when Saronikos hosted Ilisiakos on Nov 16, 2025. That result, combined with the fact that Saronikos had never won this fixture (0 away wins in head-to-head), gave Ilisiakos a psychological edge. The home team extended their unbeaten run in this matchup with the 1-0 victory on Feb 15.

League Table Positions

The available Gamma Ethniki standings data does not include Ilisiakos or Saronikos among the top 12 teams listed. As their exact positions are unknown, the match analysis relies on recent form, which clearly favored the home side. Ilisiakos' 4 wins in 5 games indicated a team likely occupying a higher spot than Saronikos, who had only 1 win in 5.

Win Probability: Ilisiakos or Saronikos?

Based on the available data, we calculated the win probability as follows: Ilisiakos 55%, draw 25%, Saronikos 20%. The home team's superior form (4 wins vs 1), the head-to-head edge (unbeaten in 2 meetings), and the advantage of playing at home all supported a high chance of an Ilisiakos victory. Saronikos' poor away record (W, L, L, D, L) further reduced their probability, while the draw remained a plausible outcome given the 1-1 result in the only prior meeting. Ultimately, the actual 1-0 scoreline confirmed that Ilisiakos was the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds were available for this fixture in the provided data. However, based on the statistical indicators, bookmakers would likely have priced Ilisiakos as clear favorites. Our match prediction was a home win for Ilisiakos, which was realized with the final score of 1-0.