Arkonia Szczecin - Ina Insko prediction 11 October 2026

The Arkonia Szczecin vs Ina Insko prediction for October 11, 2026, points towards a home victory in this IV Liga clash. Bookmakers have installed Arkonia Szczecin as the clear favorite, and our analysis gives them a 62% win probability. The match kicks off at 14:00 in Poland's fourth tier.

Team Form

Arkonia Szczecin's recent form has been mixed but shows resilience at home. Their last four results read D, L, W, W. They drew 1-1 at home to Chemik Police on Sep 19, lost 6-3 away to Sparta Gryfice on Sep 13, beat Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 at home on Sep 5, and won 2-1 away at Iskierka Szczecin on Aug 15. They have scored in each of their last four matches.

Ina Insko's form is more concerning. Their last five results are W, L, L, D, W. They won 3-2 at home to GKS Manowo on Sep 6, but suffered heavy 7-1 away defeats to both KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II and Swit Szczecin II on Aug 16. A 1-1 draw at NKS Astra Ustronie Morskie on May 9 and a 3-1 away win at KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II on Apr 4 complete the picture. Defensive frailties on the road are a major red flag.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Arkonia Szczecin and Ina Insko. With zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins in the books, this match represents a first meeting or a lack of available data, meaning form and odds are the primary indicators.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not provided in the available data. However, the odds and recent performances suggest Arkonia Szczecin are in a stronger competitive position within the IV Liga, while Ina Insko's heavy away losses indicate they are likely struggling in the lower half of the table.

Win Probability: Arkonia Szczecin or Ina Insko?

Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: Arkonia Szczecin has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Ina Insko has a 16% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds (1.42, 4.50, 5.25) as a base, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for Arkonia Szczecin's stronger recent form and Ina Insko's very poor away defensive record, which included two 7-1 defeats. The home advantage for Arkonia Szczecin further solidifies their status as the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: Arkonia Szczecin home win at 1.42, a draw at 4.50, and an Ina Insko away win at 5.25. Bookmakers see Arkonia Szczecin as the strong favorite. Based on the stats, the prediction is a home win for Arkonia Szczecin. Ina Insko's leaky defense on the road makes it difficult to back them for an upset, though their ability to score occasionally suggests the home side may need to be clinical.