CD Olympia JV - EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves prediction 22 September 2026

The CD Olympia JV vs EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves prediction for this Liga Antioquena match on September 22 (16:00) sees the visitors as overwhelming favorites. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves have a 68% chance of winning, while CD Olympia JV hold only 9% win probability, with the draw at 23%.

Team Form

CD Olympia JV are in terrible shape. Their last five matches across all venues have produced four defeats and one draw (L, L, L, D, L). Highlights include a 1-2 home loss to Belen La Nuvia Arco Zaragoza on Aug 14, a 2-4 home defeat by Leones Reserves on Aug 4, and a 2-3 home loss to Dimelo Jara FC on Jul 7. Their only point came in a 2-2 home draw with CD Ciclos on Jul 2. A 0-3 away loss at Club Molino Viejo on Jun 14 completed the dismal run.

EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves arrive with much stronger momentum. Their last five matches yielded three wins followed by two defeats (W, W, W, L, L). They beat Real Santuario 1-0 at home on Jul 20, won 1-2 away at Belen La Nuvia Arco Zaragoza on Jul 15, and crushed Leones Reserves 4-2 away on Jun 26. The only blemish came from longer ago – a 0-1 loss at Leones Reserves in November 2025 and a 0-2 defeat at Atletico Nacional Reserves in November 2025. The recent run of victories shows they can score and win on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between CD Olympia JV and EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves. The head-to-head record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This will be their first-ever competitive encounter.

Win Probability: CD Olympia JV or EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves?

CD Olympia JV has a 9% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves have a 68% chance. The calculation starts from the inverse of the pre-match odds (1X2: home 8.50, draw 3.20, away 1.20), which gives raw implied probabilities of 9.3%, 24.7%, and 65.9% after removing the bookmaker margin. We then adjust slightly based on form: the home side’s run of four losses in five games merits a small downgrade, while the away side’s three wins in their last five justifies an uptick. Home advantage barely registers given the hosts’ poor results. The clear conclusion from the win probability analysis is that EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves are the team most likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds heavily back the away side: home win is priced at 8.50, a draw at 3.20, and an away win at 1.20. Bookmakers see EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves as the strong favorite, a view supported by the massive gulf in form. Based on the stats and the implied probabilities, our CD Olympia JV vs EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves prediction is an away victory. The visitors’ superior recent results and the hosts’ shaky defence point towards a routine win for EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves.