Loudoun United - Indy Eleven prediction 3 October 2026
Loudoun United
Indy ElevenLoudoun United
Brooklyn FCBirmingham LegionLoudoun UnitedRhode Island FCLoudoun UnitedMiami FCLoudoun UnitedLoudoun UnitedIndy ElevenSporting JaxLoudoun UnitedLouisville CardinalsLoudoun UnitedPittsburgh RiverhoundsLoudoun UnitedLoudoun UnitedColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveLoudoun UnitedLoudoun UnitedNew Mexico UnitedDetroit CityLoudoun UnitedLoudoun UnitedCharleston BatteryLoudoun UnitedHartford AthleticIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedCharleston BatteryIndy ElevenLouisville CardinalsIndy ElevenIndy ElevenTampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun UnitedIndy ElevenRhode Island FCIndy ElevenIndy ElevenMiami FCIndy ElevenOakland RootsIndy ElevenBrooklyn FCNew Mexico UnitedIndy ElevenIndy ElevenBirmingham LegionPhoenix RisingIndy ElevenIndy ElevenLouisville CardinalsSporting JaxIndy ElevenIndy ElevenHartford AthleticSan Antonio FCIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedIndy ElevenIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedLoudoun UnitedIndy Eleven| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 |
| 7 |  Lexington SC | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 |
| 8 |  Louisville Cardinals | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 |  San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 |
| 12 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 13 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 |
| 14 |  Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 15 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 |
| 16 |  Orange County Blue Star | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 18 |  Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 21 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 |
| 24 |  Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven Prediction (Oct 3)
Our Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven prediction for the USL Championship fixture on October 3, 2026 (kick-off 23:00) sees Loudoun United as the narrow favorite with a 38% win probability, while a draw is rated at 34% and Indy Eleven stand at 28%. This match brings together two sides both looking to climb the table.
Team Form
Loudoun United come into this game with just one win from their last five outings (W,L,L,L,L). That sole victory was a 4-1 away success at Sporting Jax on September 26. Since then they have suffered a 2-1 loss at Louisville, a 1-0 defeat at Pittsburgh Riverhounds, a 5-4 home reverse to Colorado Springs Switchbacks and a 4-1 thrashing at El Paso Locomotive.
Indy Eleven's recent form is slightly better, reading L,L,W,D,D. They lost at home against Miami FC (0-2) and Oakland Roots (0-1), but bounced back with a 4-0 home win over Brooklyn FC. Away from home, they drew 2-2 at New Mexico United and 2-2 at home to Birmingham Legion.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last three meetings, Loudoun United lead the head-to-head 2-1. The most recent clash on July 26, 2026 saw Loudoun United win 1-0 away at Indy Eleven. The previous two encounters were split: Indy Eleven won 2-1 at home in October 2025, while Loudoun United were 3-2 winners at this venue in August 2025. Notably, there have been no draws in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Neither club features in the overall top 12 of the USL Championship standings. Loudoun United are outside the top 8 in the home form table, indicating difficulties at their own ground. Indy Eleven, despite a strong home record (3rd in the home table), have not been able to replicate that form on the road and are absent from the top 8 away rankings.
Win Probability: Loudoun United or Indy Eleven?
We calculate the probabilities based on the betting odds, recent form, head-to-head record and home advantage. The inverse of the odds (2.12 home, 2.35 draw, 3.00 away) give a base of 38.3% for a home win, 34.6% for the draw and 27.1% for an away victory. Adjusted for Loudoun Unitedโs poor recent run and Indy Elevenโs slightly better form, we settle on: Loudoun United 38%, Draw 34%, Indy Eleven 28%. Thus, the home side has a clear but not overwhelming edge, with the draw a strong secondary possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers quote Loudoun United at a best price of 2.12, the draw at 2.35, and an Indy Eleven win at 3.00. These odds imply confidence in a close encounter. Our Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven prediction: a tight game likely to produce under 2.5 total goals. The most probable single outcome is a slim home win, but a share of the points is nearly as likely. When considering betting tips, the draw no bet on Loudoun United or under 2.5 goals could offer value.
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven โ FAQ
- Who will win Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven?
- Loudoun United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw stands at 34%, and Indy Eleven have a 28% probability. The data points to Loudoun United as the most likely winner, but with only a narrow advantage.
- What is the win probability for Loudoun United?
- Loudoun Unitedโs win probability is 38%. This is derived from the betting odds and adjusted for their recent poor form and head-to-head record.
- When is the Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven match?
- The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 23:00 local time, in the USL Championship, USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 2.12 for a Loudoun United victory, 2.35 for the draw, and 3.00 for an Indy Eleven win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Loudoun United and Indy Eleven?
- In their last three meetings, Loudoun United lead 2-1, with no draws. The most recent encounter was a 1-0 away win for Loudoun United on July 26, 2026.