| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 | |
| 6 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | |
| 7 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | |
| 8 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 | |
| 9 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | |
| 10 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 | |
| 11 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 | |
| 13 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | |
| 14 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 | |
| 15 | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | |
| 16 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | |
| 17 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | |
| 18 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 | |
| 19 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | |
| 20 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 | |
| 21 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 | |
| 22 | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 | |
| 23 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | |
| 24 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 | |
| 25 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
Indy Eleven's last five USL Championship results are L, W, D, D, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Oakland Roots on Sep 20, beat Brooklyn FC 4-0 on Sep 16, drew 2-2 at New Mexico United on Sep 12, drew 2-2 at home with Birmingham Legion on Sep 6, and lost 2-1 at Phoenix Rising on Aug 30.
In the home league table, Indy Eleven sit 3rd with 27 points from 13 home matches. Their home record is 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 23 goals scored and 11 conceded.
Miami FC's last five USL Championship results are W, D, D, L, L. They won 2-1 at Rhode Island FC on Sep 20, drew 1-1 at Brooklyn FC on Sep 13, drew 2-2 at home with Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Sep 6, and lost 5-0 twice away at Charleston Battery on Aug 25 and Aug 23.
Indy Eleven lead the head-to-head record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Miami FC.
The supplied league table does not include an overall position for either club in the top 12. The home standings show Indy Eleven in 3rd place with 27 points from 13 home games, trailing only Charleston Battery and Detroit City on home form.
Miami FC are not listed among the top eight away teams in the provided standings.
Indy Eleven has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Miami FC has a 21% chance.
The 1X2 odds imply normalized probabilities around 47% for Indy Eleven, 32% for the draw, and 21% for Miami FC. The adjustment to 52-27-21 reflects Indy Eleven's 3rd-place home record, their 2-1-1 head-to-head edge, and Miami FC's back-to-back 5-0 away defeats in August.
Conclusion: Indy Eleven are the more likely winners based on the stats.
The listed 1X2 odds are 1.70 for an Indy Eleven win, 2.48 for the draw, and 3.75 for a Miami FC win. Additional bookmaker prices in the data show 1.67/2.50/3.80 and 1.67/2.50/3.75.
Bookmakers see Indy Eleven as the favorite. From a betting tips perspective, the home win is the most supported outcome by the odds and the team form. Miami FC's away win odds of around 3.75 reflect their poor away results, including two 5-0 defeats at Charleston Battery.
Based on the stats, Indy Eleven to win is the most likely match outcome. The draw has a solid chance at 27%, but the home side's home form and H2H record make them the most probable winner in this USL Championship fixture.