Indy Eleven - Miami FC prediction 27 September 2026

USA ยท USL ChampionshipFinished
Indy Eleven
0:2
FT
Miami FC
Match Info
CompetitionUSL Championship ยท USA
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeC. Rodriguez
Recent Form
Indy Eleven
L
L
L
D
L
Miami FC
L
L
W
W
W
Recent matches ยท Indy Eleven
USL Championship
Charleston Battery
Indy Eleven
10
L
USL Championship
Louisville Cardinals
Indy Eleven
41
L
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
13
L
USL Championship
Loudoun United
Indy Eleven
11
D
USL Championship
Rhode Island FC
Indy Eleven
10
L
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Miami FC
02
L
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Oakland Roots
01
L
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Brooklyn FC
40
W
USL Championship
New Mexico United
Indy Eleven
22
D
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Birmingham Legion
22
D
USL Championship
Phoenix Rising
Indy Eleven
21
L
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Louisville Cardinals
21
W
USL Championship
Sporting Jax
Indy Eleven
01
W
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Hartford Athletic
11
D
USL Championship
San Antonio FC
Indy Eleven
31
L
Recent matches ยท Miami FC
USL Championship
Miami FC
Charleston Battery
12
L
USL Championship
Miami FC
Loudoun United
02
L
USL Championship
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Miami FC
12
W
USL Championship
Miami FC
Sporting Jax
41
W
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Miami FC
02
W
USL Championship
Rhode Island FC
Miami FC
12
W
USL Championship
Brooklyn FC
Miami FC
11
D
USL Championship
Miami FC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
22
D
USL Championship
Charleston Battery
Miami FC
50
L
USL Championship
Charleston Battery
Miami FC
50
L
USL Championship
Hartford Athletic
Miami FC
21
L
USL Cup
San Antonio FC
Miami FC
21
L
USL Championship
Miami FC
Las Vegas Lights
01
L
USL Championship
Miami FC
Detroit City
22
D
USL Championship
Miami FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
23
L
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Indy Eleven
1
Draws
2
Miami FC
Previous meetings
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Miami FC
02
USL Championship
Miami FC
Indy Eleven
20
USL Championship
Indy Eleven
Miami FC
32
Open Cup
Indy Eleven
Miami FC
00
USL Championship
Miami FC
Indy Eleven
13
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661
2Charleston Battery30165956:35+2153
3New Mexico United30157845:34+1152
4Sacramento Republic301312542:28+1451
5Detroit City30149734:21+1351
6El Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050
7Lexington SC301461057:39+1848
8Louisville Cardinals30138951:43+847
9Colorado Springs Switchbacks30138944:38+647
10Pittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345
11San Antonio FC301112732:30+245
12Hartford Athletic301013735:33+243
13Tulsa Roughnecks301110934:31+343
14Rhode Island FC301261242:33+942
15Phoenix Rising3010101045:46-140
16Orange County Blue Star301091139:49-1039
17Oakland Roots309111039:40-138
18Miami FC30991239:49-1036
19Las Vegas Lights301061441:48-736
20Indy Eleven30971435:41-634
21Loudoun United306131138:48-1031
22Birmingham Legion306121240:46-630
23Monterey Bay30661832:52-2024
24Brooklyn FC30561934:63-2921
25Sporting Jax30352232:78-4614
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction (Sep 27)

This Indy Eleven vs Miami FC prediction covers the USL Championship fixture on Sep 27 at 00:00. Based on the available odds, team form, league table data, and head-to-head record, Indy Eleven enter as favorites with a 52% win probability, while the draw is at 27% and Miami FC at 21%.

Team Form

Indy Eleven's last five USL Championship results are L, W, D, D, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Oakland Roots on Sep 20, beat Brooklyn FC 4-0 on Sep 16, drew 2-2 at New Mexico United on Sep 12, drew 2-2 at home with Birmingham Legion on Sep 6, and lost 2-1 at Phoenix Rising on Aug 30.

In the home league table, Indy Eleven sit 3rd with 27 points from 13 home matches. Their home record is 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 23 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Miami FC's last five USL Championship results are W, D, D, L, L. They won 2-1 at Rhode Island FC on Sep 20, drew 1-1 at Brooklyn FC on Sep 13, drew 2-2 at home with Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Sep 6, and lost 5-0 twice away at Charleston Battery on Aug 25 and Aug 23.

Head-to-Head Record

Indy Eleven lead the head-to-head record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Miami FC.

  • Jul 16, 2026: Miami FC 2-0 Indy Eleven
  • Aug 24, 2025: Indy Eleven 3-2 Miami FC
  • Apr 17, 2025: Indy Eleven 0-0 Miami FC - Open Cup
  • Mar 15, 2025: Miami FC 1-3 Indy Eleven

League Table Positions

The supplied league table does not include an overall position for either club in the top 12. The home standings show Indy Eleven in 3rd place with 27 points from 13 home games, trailing only Charleston Battery and Detroit City on home form.

Miami FC are not listed among the top eight away teams in the provided standings.

Win Probability: Indy Eleven or Miami FC?

Indy Eleven has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Miami FC has a 21% chance.

The 1X2 odds imply normalized probabilities around 47% for Indy Eleven, 32% for the draw, and 21% for Miami FC. The adjustment to 52-27-21 reflects Indy Eleven's 3rd-place home record, their 2-1-1 head-to-head edge, and Miami FC's back-to-back 5-0 away defeats in August.

Conclusion: Indy Eleven are the more likely winners based on the stats.

Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction: Odds & Match Prediction

The listed 1X2 odds are 1.70 for an Indy Eleven win, 2.48 for the draw, and 3.75 for a Miami FC win. Additional bookmaker prices in the data show 1.67/2.50/3.80 and 1.67/2.50/3.75.

Bookmakers see Indy Eleven as the favorite. From a betting tips perspective, the home win is the most supported outcome by the odds and the team form. Miami FC's away win odds of around 3.75 reflect their poor away results, including two 5-0 defeats at Charleston Battery.

Final Prediction

Based on the stats, Indy Eleven to win is the most likely match outcome. The draw has a solid chance at 27%, but the home side's home form and H2H record make them the most probable winner in this USL Championship fixture.

Indy Eleven vs Miami FC โ€” FAQ

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Indy Eleven are the more likely winners. Our win probability model gives Indy Eleven a 52% chance, the draw 27%, and Miami FC 21%. The home side's strong home record and the 2-1-1 head-to-head edge support this.
What is the win probability for Indy Eleven?
Indy Eleven have a 52% chance of winning this match. That figure is based on the 1X2 odds, their 3rd-place home table position with 27 points, and their 2-1-1 head-to-head record against Miami FC.
When is the Indy Eleven vs Miami FC match?
The match is scheduled for Sep 27 at 00:00 in the USL Championship, USA. It is a USL Championship league fixture.
What are the odds for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
The listed 1X2 odds are 1.70 for Indy Eleven, 2.48 for the draw, and 3.75 for Miami FC. Additional bookmaker prices in the data show 1.67 for Indy Eleven, 2.50 for the draw, and 3.75 or 3.80 for Miami FC.
What is the head-to-head record between Indy Eleven and Miami FC?
Indy Eleven lead the head-to-head with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Miami FC. The most recent meeting on Jul 16, 2026 ended Miami FC 2-0 Indy Eleven.
Indy Eleven โ€“ Miami FC ยท match page