Arsenal Roatan vs Infop prediction for the Liga de Ascenso match on September 23, 2026, at 22:30 local time. Based on recent form and odds analysis, Arsenal Roatan have a 40% chance of winning, while Infop's win probability stands at 25%, with a draw at 35%.
Arsenal Roatan come into this fixture with solid home form, having won three of their last five matches (W, L, W, D, W). Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-1 victory over CD San Rafael on September 12. Prior to that, they suffered a 1-2 loss to Deportes Savio back in April, but they have otherwise been consistent, beating Meluca 1-0 and San Juan Huracan 3-1, with a 1-1 draw against Pumas FC. Across these five home games, Arsenal Roatan scored 9 goals and conceded 5, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Infop, on the other hand, have only one recent result availableโa 1-3 home defeat to Deportivo Hondupino on September 20. That loss extends a poor run, and with no other form data, they appear to be struggling. They conceded three goals in that single match, raising concerns about their defensive solidity.
There is no head-to-head history between Arsenal Roatan and Infop. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, so no past results can influence the prediction. The lack of H2H data means we rely entirely on current form and odds.
We calculate the win probabilities based on the available odds, team form, and home advantage. The bookmaker odds (home 2.45, draw 2.05, away 4.33) imply a draw is the most likely outcome. After removing the margin, the true probabilities are approximately 36.2% for an Arsenal Roatan win, 43.3% for a draw, and 20.5% for an Infop win. However, Arsenal Roatan's strong home form (3 wins in last 5) and Infop's recent loss shift the balance. We adjust the probabilities to: Arsenal Roatan win 40%, draw 35%, Infop win 25%. Therefore, Arsenal Roatan are the more likely winners, but a draw remains a significant possibility.
The best available odds for this match are: Arsenal Roatan to win at 2.45, a draw at 2.05, and an Infop victory at 4.33. Bookmakers clearly see a draw as the most probable result, with Infop as the underdogs. Our prediction, however, leans towards an Arsenal Roatan win based on their superior recent performances. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is a plausible outcome, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the home win offers value at 2.45 given the 40% implied probability, while the draw odds are short but reflect the bookmakers' caution.