Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk prediction 21 October 2026
Inter Milan
Shakhtar DonetskInter Milan
FiorentinaInter MilanShakhtar DonetskBolognaInter MilanInter MilanClub BruggeInter MilanParmaAS RomaInter MilanInter MilanUdineseReal MadridInter MilanInter MilanNapoliCagliariInter MilanInter MilanMonzaInter MilanReal BetisJuventusInter MilanAC MilanInter MilanManchester CityInter MilanShakhtar DonetskZorya LuganskInter MilanShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskKolos KovalivkaShakhtar DonetskAEK AthensVeresShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskKryvbas Kriviy RihShakhtar DonetskLNZ CherkasySC VilkhivtsiShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskChornomorets OdesaPSV EindhovenShakhtar DonetskKarpaty LvivShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskPolissya ZhytomyrFC KharkivShakhtar DonetskEpicentr DunaivtsiShakhtar DonetskFK KudrivkaShakhtar DonetskInter MilanShakhtar DonetskInter MilanShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskInter MilanInter MilanShakhtar DonetskInter MilanShakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskInter MilanInter MilanShakhtar Donetsk| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Arsenal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 |  Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 28 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |  LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  LOSC Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction (Oct 21)
Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction arrives with the UEFA Champions League fixture scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, 20:00 at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan. Bookmakers have priced Inter Milan as the clear favorite, and our win probability model gives them a 68% chance to win this match.
Team Form
Inter Milan come into this game with mixed results in their last five matches: W, L, W, D, W. A 3-1 away win at Bologna on Oct 17 was a strong response after a surprising 3-4 home defeat to Club Brugge in the Champions League on Oct 13. Home victories over Parma (3-0) and Udinese (5-3) highlight their attacking threat at the Giuseppe Meazza.
Shakhtar Donetsk are in perfect form with five consecutive wins. In the Champions League, they beat AEK Athens 3-1 at home on Oct 14. That run also includes domestic victories against Kolos Kovalivka (2-1), Veres (3-0 away), and LNZ Cherkasy (3-0), plus a friendly win over Kryvbas Kriviy Rih (3-0). Shakhtar have scored 14 goals in these five wins.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met five times previously in the UEFA Champions League. Inter Milan hold the edge with 2 wins and 4 draws, while Shakhtar Donetsk have never won in this fixture. The most recent meeting was a 2-0 home victory for Inter on Nov 24, 2021. Three of the four draws finished 0-0, indicating historically tight and low-scoring contests between these sides.
League Table Positions
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 11th in the overall Champions League standings with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 4 goals and conceding 2. Inter Milan's league phase standing is not listed among the top positions provided, while Shakhtar have made a solid start. The Ukrainian side have yet to lose in this Champions League campaign.
Win Probability: Inter Milan or Shakhtar Donetsk?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we have calculated the outcome probabilities. Inter Milan have a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 21%, and Shakhtar Donetsk have an 11% chance. The inverse of bookmaker odds (removing the margin) heavily favors Inter, and this is reinforced by Inter's unbeaten H2H record and the home factor at the Giuseppe Meazza. Shakhtar's perfect recent form is noted, but the quality gap suggested by the odds is too wide to ignore.
Odds & Match Prediction
Available 1X2 odds show Inter Milan as the strong favorite. The lowest home win price observed is 1.18, while the best available odds for an away victory reach 14.50. The draw is priced between 2.90 and 7.00 across various bookmakers. Based on all the stats, Inter Milan are expected to secure the win, but the frequent 0-0 draws in this fixture's history suggest a potential for a tight contest early on.
Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk โ FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- Based on the available data and odds, Inter Milan are the clear favorite to win. The calculated win probabilities are: Inter Milan 68%, draw 21%, and Shakhtar Donetsk 11%.
- What is the win probability for Inter Milan?
- Inter Milan have a 68% probability of winning this match. This figure is driven by very short home odds (as low as 1.18), a strong head-to-head record with no defeats to Shakhtar, and the home advantage at the Giuseppe Meazza.
- When is the Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk match?
- The match is on Oct 21, 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 local time. It is a UEFA Champions League fixture played at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan, with referee Harm Osmers officiating.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Prematch 1X2 odds range from 1.18 to 1.44 for a home win, 2.90 to 7.00 for a draw, and 7.25 to 14.50 for an away win. Inter Milan are the strong favorites according to all bookmakers listed.
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk?
- In five previous meetings, Inter Milan have 2 wins and there have been 4 draws. Shakhtar Donetsk have never won against Inter Milan, with the most recent match ending 2-0 to Inter in November 2021.