KuPS Akatemia - Inter Turku II prediction 7 October 2026

The KuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II prediction for this Ykkonen clash on October 7, 2026, points to an away win. Inter Turku II enters the match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while KuPS Akatemia has a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

KuPS Akatemia's last five matches show a struggle for consistency: L, L, L, W, D. They lost 2-3 at KPV Kokkola, 2-4 at TPV, and 1-3 at home to SalPa, before a 4-2 away win at KPV Kokkola and a 2-2 home draw with PK Keski-Uusimaa. Inter Turku II's recent form reads W, L, L, L, L. A 3-0 home win over TPV was followed by four straight defeats: 1-2 at VJS Vantaa, 0-2 at Jazz, 0-1 at home to TPV, and 2-3 at home to KPV Kokkola. Both sides are in poor shape, but KuPS Akatemia has shown slight improvement with a win and a draw in their last two.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter Turku II dominates this fixture with 3 wins from 4 meetings. The most recent encounter on August 7, 2026, ended 0-1 in favor of Inter Turku II. Earlier in the season, Inter Turku II won 4-2 at home. KuPS Akatemia's only victory came on August 10, 2025, a 3-1 home win. The H2H record clearly favors the away side.

League Table Positions

In the Ykkonen standings, KuPS Akatemia sits 12th (last) with 15 points from 24 matches (3 wins, 6 draws, 15 losses). Inter Turku II is 10th with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses). The eight-point gap and superior win count underline Inter Turku II's slightly better campaign, though both teams are near the bottom.

Win Probability: KuPS Akatemia or Inter Turku II?

Based on odds, form, H2H, and league positions, the win probabilities are: KuPS Akatemia 30%, Draw 30%, Inter Turku II 40%. The bookmakers' average implied odds (after removing the margin) give Inter Turku II a 37.65% chance, KuPS Akatemia 33.59%, and the draw 28.76%. We adjusted slightly in favor of the away team due to their 3-1 H2H advantage and higher table position, while the draw probability was raised because both teams are in poor form. Inter Turku II is the more likely winner, but a stalemate is a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' 1X2 odds range from 2.55 to 2.70 for a KuPS Akatemia win, 2.62 to 4.00 for the draw, and 2.05 to 2.45 for an Inter Turku II victory. The odds imply a tight contest with a slight edge for the away team. Our prediction: based on the stats, Inter Turku II is the favorite to win, but the draw cannot be ruled out. The final outcome is likely to be a narrow away win or a score draw.