Queens Park - Inverness CT prediction 13 October 2026

The Queens Park vs Inverness CT prediction for the Championship match on October 13, 2026, sees the visitors as the favorites with a 43% chance to win. The game kicks off at 19:45 at Queens Park's home ground, and bookmakers have the away side priced as short as 1.77. Based on form and table position, Inverness CT hold a clear edge, though Queen's Park's historical dominance in this fixture adds a layer of uncertainty.

Team Form

Queens Park come into this match in poor shape. They've lost four of their last five matches, with the only victory coming at home against Greenock Morton (2-1) on September 5. Since then, they've suffered away defeats to Raith Rovers (0-2), Arbroath (1-2), and Dunfermline (0-2), plus a home loss to Ayr United (0-2). That run leaves them with just one win in ten league outings and rooted to the bottom of the table.

Inverness CT, in contrast, are enjoying a strong spell. Their last five results read W-W-D-W-L: home victories over Stenhousemuir (2-0) and Greenock Morton (2-0), an away draw at Livingston (2-2), an away win at Ayr United (3-1), and a home loss to Raith Rovers (0-2). With three wins in that stretch, they've climbed to fifth in the standings and carry considerable momentum into this away fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between these sides includes 9 encounters, with 5 home wins, 3 draws, and only 1 away win. Interestingly, Queens Park have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last five. That run includes a 1-0 away win in February 2024, a 2-1 away win in August 2023, a 2-1 home win in March 2023, and a 2-0 away cup win in January 2023. Inverness CT's sole recent success was a 4-1 away win in December 2023. This history suggests Queens Park often raise their game against this opponent, despite their current struggles.

League Table Positions

In the Championship standings, Queens Park sit 10th (last) with just 4 points from 9 matches, having recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 defeats. They've scored 4 goals and conceded 15. Inverness CT occupy 5th place with 13 points from 9 games (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses), with a goal difference of +2 (11 scored, 9 conceded). The gap in points and form is significant, underlining Inverness's superiority on paper.

Win Probability: Queens Park or Inverness CT?

Based on the averaged odds from multiple bookmakers and removing the market margin, the win probabilities are:
- Queens Park win: 21%
- Draw: 36%
- Inverness CT win: 43%

These percentages reflect the market consensus that Inverness are the most likely winners, but with a high chance of a draw. The away side's solid recent form (three wins in five) and much higher league position justify their favorite status. Queens Park's dreadful run (four losses in five) pulls their probability down sharply, although their exceptional head-to-head record against Inverness keeps them in contention. Home advantage is minimal given Queens Park's poor results at their own ground. The large probability for a draw is supported by Inverness's away record of two draws in four road trips, as well as the bookmakers' pricing of the draw as low as 2.20.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture vary. The best available odds see a Queens Park home win at up to 4.70, a draw around 4.03, and an Inverness CT away win as short as 1.77. Other odds sets show home wins at 3.80–4.33, draws at 2.20–2.25, and away wins at 2.05–2.25. This range indicates strong confidence in the visitors, with the latest market moves favoring Inverness even more. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that Inverness CT are the more likely winners, but the high probability of a draw makes the double chance (Inverness or Draw) a sensible consideration for betting tips. The head-to-head factor cannot be ignored, so we expect a tight contest where Queens Park could spring a surprise.