Raith Rovers - Inverness CT prediction 24 October 2026

Our Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT prediction for the October 24 Scottish Championship match at Stark’s Park points toward a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on the bookmakers' odds and current team form, Raith Rovers has a 40% chance of winning, the draw stands at 35%, and Inverness CT has a 25% probability. The match kicks off at 15:00.

Team Form

Raith Rovers enter this fixture with a mixed but resilient recent record. Their last five results read D, W, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 away to Stenhousemuir on October 17, beat Queens Park 2-0 at home, and earned a 2-1 victory at Greenock Morton. A 2-0 home loss against Livingston stands out as a setback. Inverness CT’s recent form is identical to Raith Rovers in terms of the last five results: W, L, W, W, D. They secured a 2-0 home win over Arbroath on October 17 but lost 2-1 at Queens Park. Home wins against Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton (both 2-0) and a 2-2 draw at Livingston complete the picture.

Head-to-Head Record

Raith Rovers hold a slight advantage in recent meetings. Across the last 20 encounters, Inverness CT have won 9, Raith Rovers have won 4, and 7 ended in draws. The most recent match, on September 5, 2026, saw Raith Rovers win 2-0 away at Inverness CT. Earlier in 2026, Raith Rovers beat Inverness CT 4-1 at home in the Challenge Cup. Inverness CT’s last head-to-head win came in January 2024, a 3-2 victory away to Raith Rovers.

League Table Positions

In the Scottish Championship standings, Raith Rovers sit 2nd with 21 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 16 goals and conceded only 7. Inverness CT are 4th with 16 points from 11 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses), scoring 14 and conceding 11. The gap between the teams is 5 points. At home, Raith Rovers have 10 points from 5 games, losing just once. Inverness CT’s away form is weaker, with 5 points from 5 games, winning only once on the road.

Win Probability: Raith Rovers or Inverness CT?

Using the provided odds as a foundation — the best available show a home win around 2.15, a draw at 2.05, and an away win at 3.10 — we first calculate the implied probabilities. Inverting these odds gives Raith Rovers 46.5%, draw 48.8%, and Inverness CT 32.3%. Removing the bookmaker’s margin (normalizing to 100%) yields a base probability of approximately 36.4% for a Raith Rovers win, 38.2% for a draw, and 25.3% for an Inverness CT win. Factoring in Raith Rovers’ home advantage (ranked 4th at home) and Inverness CT’s poor away record (7th), along with Raith Rovers’ overall 2nd place standing, we slightly adjust the numbers. The final win probability estimate: Raith Rovers has a 40% chance, the draw is at 35%, and Inverness CT has a 25% chance. The data supports Raith Rovers as the more likely winner, but the draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The best odds available are: Raith Rovers home win at 2.15, a draw at 2.05, and an Inverness CT away win at 3.10. The unusually low draw odds reflect the historical head-to-head record and both teams’ ability to cancel each other out. Based on the stats, our Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT prediction is a home win, but with the draw as a very credible alternative. Inverness CT’s path to victory looks narrow given their road struggles.