Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest prediction 23 October 2026

Our Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction for this Premier League match on October 23, 2026 at Portman Road Stadium shows Nottingham Forest as the favorite with a 41% win probability. The visitors are backed by a dominant head-to-head record and slightly more consistent recent away form.

Team Form

Ipswich Town enter this match with a mixed run of results: two wins and three losses in their last five outings (L, W, L, L, W). Their most recent match was a narrow 3-2 defeat away to Manchester City on October 17. Before that, they secured a 2-1 home win against Fulham on October 10. Defensively, they have conceded in four of those five games, which could be a concern against a Nottingham Forest side looking to bounce back.

Nottingham Forest's last five results show one win, two draws, and two losses (L, L, W, D, D). They come into this fixture off the back of a 3-1 away loss to Crystal Palace on October 11 and a 1-0 home defeat to Coventry City on September 19. However, a 2-1 win at Aston Villa and draws against Tottenham and Liverpool earlier in the season highlight their ability to compete with strong opposition.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between these two sides heavily favors Nottingham Forest. In 13 previous meetings, Forest have won 9 times, Ipswich have won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash was a 4-2 victory for Nottingham Forest at Portman Road in the Premier League on March 15, 2025. Earlier that same month, they played out a 1-1 draw in the FA Cup on March 3, 2025. Forest also won 1-0 at home in the Premier League on November 30, 2024. You have to go back to a 1-1 Championship draw in 2019 for the last time Ipswich avoided defeat against Forest at home.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League standings, Ipswich Town sit 10th with 9 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses), scoring 11 and conceding 15. At home, they are 8th based on points per game, having taken 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss). Nottingham Forest's position in the overall table is not listed in the available data, but their away record is detailed. While not in the provided away standings top eight, their recent away performances include draws at Liverpool and Tottenham, suggesting they are a tough side to beat on the road.

Win Probability: Ipswich Town or Nottingham Forest?

Based on the provided odds data, historical head-to-head record, recent form, and home/away factors, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match: Ipswich Town has a 32% chance of winning, the draw stands at 32%, and Nottingham Forest has a 36% chance. These percentages are derived by normalizing the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home 3.01, draw 2.49, away 2.54) to remove the margin, then adjusting for Forest's 9-2 head-to-head dominance and Ipswich's slightly less consistent defensive form. The result is a closely contested match where Nottingham Forest holds a marginal edge, primarily due to their psychological advantage from recent H2H encounters.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show an unusually tight contest. The best available odds see an Ipswich Town win priced around 3.15, the draw around 3.65, and a Nottingham Forest victory as low as 2.36. The market's implied probabilities suggest no clear favorite, but the lowest price on a Forest win aligns with their superior head-to-head record. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Nottingham Forest win or a draw, with a low-scoring affair possible given both teams' recent defensive records. Our Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction is for Nottingham Forest to avoid defeat, but a draw cannot be ruled out.