Irony Bet Shemesh - Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction 23 September 2026

Irony Bet Shemesh vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction: this League Alef clash in Israel is scheduled for Sep 23 at 17:00. According to our win probability model, Irony Bet Shemesh have a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem sit at 21%. The home side are the favorites, but both teams come into this match in poor form.

Team Form

Irony Bet Shemesh

Irony Bet Shemesh have not won in their last five outings, recording three draws and two defeats (D,D,L,L,D). Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away to Maccabi Ashdod on Sep 18. In the cup, they drew 2-2 with Hapoel Herzliya on Sep 15. The two losses came against MK Kfar Saba 1928 (1-4 at home) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (0-2 away). An earlier cup match saw a 1-1 draw with Hapoel Segev Shalom. Over these five games, they scored 6 goals and conceded 11, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The home side have drawn three of their last five, showing they are competitive but lack the finishing touch.

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem are on a dreadful run of five consecutive losses (L,L,L,L,L). They lost 1-3 at home to FC Jerusalem on Sep 18, 1-3 away to Hapoel Herzliya on Sep 9, and 0-2 at home to Dimona on Sep 3. A 0-1 cup defeat to Hapoel Hadera and a 1-2 loss at Hapoel Azor back in February complete the sequence. The team has managed just 3 goals while conceding 11 in these matches. Their away form is particularly concerning, with all five defeats coming with a negative goal difference.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Irony Bet Shemesh and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem. This will be the first ever meeting between the two clubs, so no past results can be used to predict the outcome.

Win Probability: Irony Bet Shemesh or Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem?

We calculated the win probabilities by averaging the implied probabilities from two bookmakers' odds and adjusting for recent form and home advantage. The results are:

• Irony Bet Shemesh: 48%
• Draw: 31%
• Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem: 21%

Irony Bet Shemesh are the most likely winners. Their home advantage and slightly better form (three draws vs five losses) give them the edge. However, their inability to secure a win in five attempts means the draw probability is also significant. Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem's chances are slim given their losing streak and poor goal difference.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from two bookmakers are as follows:

• Bookmaker 1: Home win 2.20, Draw 2.38, Away win 4.33
• Bookmaker 2: Home win 1.62, Draw 3.65, Away win 4.20

These odds imply a home win probability of around 48% after removing the bookmaker margin, which aligns with our model. For betting tips, the draw at odds of 2.38 or 3.65 could offer value given both teams' struggles to win. Our match prediction is that Irony Bet Shemesh are the favorites to win, but a low-scoring draw is a very realistic outcome. Based on the stats, a 1-1 or 2-1 home victory are the most likely scorelines.