Ejidatarios de Bonfil - ISG Sport prediction 10 October 2026

The Ejidatarios de Bonfil vs ISG Sport prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a dominant home favorite. This Liga TDP match kicks off at 22:00 local time, and based on the latest odds and team form, Ejidatarios de Bonfil holds an 80% win probability. ISG Sport faces an uphill battle with just a 6% chance of an upset.

Team Form

Ejidatarios de Bonfil come into this fixture with mixed results, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings (D, D, L, W, L). Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw away at Corsarios de Campeche on October 2, 2026. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against Deportiva Venados II. The sole victory in this stretch was a convincing 3-1 home win over Bombarderos de Tecamac in April 2026.

ISG Sport, on the other hand, are in dreadful form. They have lost all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L), failing to score in four of those games. Their latest defeat was a 2-0 loss at Deportiva Venados II on October 3, 2026. Earlier results include a 4-0 loss to Inter Playa del Carmen II and a 5-1 thrashing by Pioneros Cancun II. The away side has conceded 16 goals in these five defeats, highlighting severe defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, with Ejidatarios de Bonfil winning 3-1 at home on January 25, 2025. That Liga TDP encounter saw the home side dominate, and the head-to-head record stands at one win for Ejidatarios de Bonfil, no draws, and no wins for ISG Sport.

Win Probability: Ejidatarios de Bonfil or ISG Sport?

Ejidatarios de Bonfil has an 80% chance of winning, the draw is at 14%, and ISG Sport has a 6% chance. These probabilities are derived from the betting odds (1.12 home, 7.00 draw, 15.00 away), adjusted for the bookmaker margin, and then weighted by recent form and the head-to-head record. The home side’s superior form—despite some draws—and ISG Sport’s five-match losing streak heavily tilt the balance. The only previous meeting also ended in a comfortable home win, reinforcing the favorite’s edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Ejidatarios de Bonfil as the clear favorite with odds of 1.12 for a home win. The draw is priced at 7.00, and an away win for ISG Sport at 15.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory. ISG Sport’s poor defensive record and inability to score on the road make an upset extremely unlikely. Our match prediction is a straightforward win for Ejidatarios de Bonfil, with a high probability of a clean sheet given the visitors’ attacking woes.