Qi Yi Football Club - Islands prediction 13 September 2026

The Islands vs Qi Yi Football Club prediction for November 2, 2025, in the Hong Kong Third Division League points to an away-side edge. Qi Yi Football Club enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Islands holds a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%. The match kicks off at 07:30 UTC.

Team Form

Islands come into this fixture with mixed recent results. Their last five outings read W, L, W, L, L, including a 4-1 away win over Wui Hong on May 31 and a 3-0 home victory against Ling Yui Orion FC on March 8. However, they lost their most recent match 2-1 at St. Joseph's Football Club and suffered a 1-0 home defeat to City Linkers Sky Wolf in February. That inconsistency at home (two wins, two losses in their last four at home) raises questions.

Qi Yi Football Club's form line shows W, L, D, L, W. They thrashed Tuen Mun FC 5-1 at home on April 12 and beat Ravia SA 3-2 in the Sapling Cup. But they also conceded four goals in a loss to Sun Hei and eight in a heavy defeat to Central and Western. The away side has been unpredictable, yet their most recent win was emphatic.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice before, both in the Third Division League. Qi Yi Football Club holds the advantage with one win and one draw. The most recent clash on November 2, 2025, ended 3-1 in Qi Yi's favor, while the earlier meeting on September 21, 2025, finished goalless. Islands have yet to beat Qi Yi, and the head-to-head record suggests the visitors know how to handle this opponent.

League Table Positions

Detailed league table data is not available in the current dataset, so a direct comparison of points and positions cannot be made. However, the form and head-to-head trends give a clear enough picture of the relative strengths.

Win Probability: Islands or Qi Yi Football Club?

Based on the available stats—team form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor—we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Islands win: 30%, draw: 30%, Qi Yi Football Club win: 40%. Qi Yi's unbeaten H2H record (1W, 1D) and their more convincing recent victory tip the scales. Islands' home advantage is offset by their two losses in the last four at home. The draw remains a realistic outcome, given the goalless stalemate in September.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are provided in the data for this fixture. In the absence of market prices, our prediction relies purely on form and historical results. Qi Yi Football Club is seen as the more likely winner, but the match could easily swing either way. Our final Islands vs Qi Yi Football Club prediction: a narrow away win or a draw looks the safest call, with Qi Yi holding a 40% chance of taking all three points.