Italy U19 Women - Netherlands U19 Women prediction 14 April 2026

The Italy U19 Women vs Netherlands U19 Women prediction for April 14, 2026, in the Euro Championship U19 Qualification Women points to an away win as the most likely outcome. Netherlands U19 Women enter this fixture with a 45% win probability, while Italy U19 Women have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 25%. The match kicks off at 11:00 at Italy's home ground.

Team Form

Italy U19 Women's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. The sequence reads D, L, W, D, L. At home, they managed a 2-0 victory over Ukraine U19 Women but also suffered defeats to Netherlands U19 Women (1-5) and Germany U19 Women (0-1), with a goalless draw against Poland U19 Women. Their only away result in this stretch was a 0-0 draw at Sweden U19 Women.

Netherlands U19 Women show a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last five (W, W, L, L, L). The wins both came on the road: a 5-1 thrashing of Italy U19 Women and a 2-0 victory at Ukraine U19 Women. However, they were beaten at home by Sweden U19 Women (1-2) and suffered heavy away defeats to Spain U20 Women (0-6) and England U20 Women (0-1). The away form is patchy but includes two high-scoring wins in this competition.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides consists of just one meeting, which took place on April 14, 2026, in the same competition. Netherlands U19 Women won that encounter 5-1 away from home. Italy U19 Women have yet to register a win or a draw against their Dutch counterparts, giving the visitors a psychological edge going into this match.

Win Probability: Italy U19 Women or Netherlands U19 Women?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Italy U19 Women win: 30%
• Draw: 25%
• Netherlands U19 Women win: 45%

These percentages are derived from the teams' recent form, the head-to-head result, and the home/away factor. Netherlands U19 Women's two away wins in the competition, including a dominant performance against Italy, give them the edge. Italy's home advantage and their win over Ukraine keep them in contention, but the lack of consistency and the heavy defeat in the reverse fixture lower their chances. The draw probability reflects Italy's ability to hold opponents at home (two draws in five) and the overall volatility of youth football.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Without market prices, our prediction relies solely on statistical indicators. The form guide and head-to-head record suggest Netherlands U19 Women are the more likely winners. Italy U19 Women will need a significant improvement in defense to avoid a repeat of the previous meeting. Our Italy U19 Women vs Netherlands U19 Women prediction is an away victory, but with a note of caution given the unpredictable nature of U19 women's football.