| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
The Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger prediction for this Botola fixture on Oct 10, 2026, at 18:00 points to an away win. Based on our analysis, Ittihad Tanger has a 40% chance of winning, while the home side Kawkab Marrakech sits at 30%, and a draw is priced at 30% probability.
Kawkab Marrakech comes into this match with a mixed recent run: a win, a loss, and three draws in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 1-0 away win over CODM Meknes on Oct 3, but they lost at home 2-3 to Hassania Agadir on Sep 27. Ittihad Tanger, on the other hand, has been stronger โ they are undefeated in their last four Botola matches, with three wins and one draw, though they lost a friendly to CODM Meknes in early September. Their last league match ended 1-1 at home to Mogherb Tetouan.
The historical record heavily favors Ittihad Tanger. In 17 previous meetings, Ittihad Tanger has won 9 times, while Kawkab Marrakech has only 3 wins, with 5 draws. The most recent clash in June 2026 ended in a 2-0 away victory for Ittihad Tanger, and the two earlier meetings in 2026 resulted in a 0-0 draw and a 3-1 friendly win for Ittihad. Kawkab Marrakechโs last head-to-head win came back in 2019.
After two matchdays in the Botola, Ittihad Tanger sits 3rd with 4 points (1 win, 1 draw), while Kawkab Marrakech is 6th with 3 points (1 win, 1 loss). The away side has been impressive on the road, winning their only away game 3-1, whereas Kawkab Marrakech lost its sole home fixture 2-3. These positioning and home/away splits further endorse Ittihad Tangerโs edge.
We calculated the outcome probabilities by starting with the average bookmakersโ odds (home 2.58, draw 2.16, away 3.32) and normalizing to remove the margin. The raw implied chances were 33.7% home win, 40.1% draw, 26.2% away win. Adjusting for current form, head-to-head record, and the league table, we boosted Ittihad Tangerโs probability by roughly 14 percentage points to 40%, while lowerring the draw to 30% and Kawkab Marrakechโs chances to 30%. The main reason is Ittihad Tangerโs three recent wins and an away victory against the same opponent in June, plus Kawkabโs weak home form.
Bookmakers see a tight contest, with some offering as high as 3.44 for an Ittihad Tanger win, 2.69 for a home win, and a low draw price of 2.41 (indicating a perceived high chance of a stalemate). Taking all stats into account, our prediction is an away win for Ittihad Tanger. The value may lie in backing the away side at odds around 3.44, as the stats suggest their chances are higher than the raw odds imply.