Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Amatitlan prediction 7 October 2026

Our Deportivo Iztapa vs Deportivo Amatitlan prediction for the Primera Division match on October 7, 2026, is a home victory. Deportivo Iztapa enters the contest as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Deportivo Amatitlan has just a 20% chance of pulling off an upset. The game kicks off at 22:00 local time in Guatemala.

Team Form

Deportivo Iztapa's last five results show a mixed bag of two wins, one draw, and two losses:

• Sep 30: Deportivo Iztapa 2-4 Juventud Copalera (L)
• Aug 19: Deportivo Amatitlan 0-2 Deportivo Iztapa (W)
• Aug 16: Deportivo Iztapa 0-1 Quiche FC (L)
• Aug 9: Deportivo Iztapa 3-3 Chichicasteco FC (D)
• Jul 26: Deportivo Iztapa 3-1 CD Huehueteco Xinabajul (W)

The 2-4 home loss to Juventud Copalera was a defensive disappointment, but the 2-0 away win over Amatitlan in August gives them a psychological edge. Iztapa's attack has been productive all season, averaging over 2 goals per game at home (22 goals in 9 home matches). Their home record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses indicates they are strong on their own turf.

Deportivo Amatitlan's recent form is less convincing, with two wins and three defeats in their last five:

• Oct 4: Deportivo Amatitlan 0-3 Deportivo Coatepeque (L)
• Sep 30: Deportivo Amatitlan 2-0 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa (W)
• Sep 20: Deportivo Amatitlan 3-0 Juventud Copalera (W)
• Aug 19: Deportivo Amatitlan 0-2 Deportivo Iztapa (L)
• Aug 16: Deportivo Coatepeque 1-0 Deportivo Amatitlan (L)

Both of Amatitlan's wins came at home, while they have lost their last two away matches without scoring. The 0-3 home defeat to Coatepeque on October 4 highlights defensive vulnerabilities that Iztapa will look to exploit.

Head-to-Head Record

There has been only one previous meeting between these teams: on August 19, 2026, Deportivo Iztapa won 2-0 away at Deportivo Amatitlan. This gives Iztapa a perfect head-to-head record and a clear advantage going into this fixture.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Iztapa sits 5th in the Primera Division overall standings with 27 points from 18 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 38 goals and conceded 24, making them one of the higher-scoring sides in the division. At home, they rank 8th with 16 points from 9 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).

Deportivo Amatitlan does not feature in the top 10 of the league table, suggesting they are in the lower half of the standings. Their exact position and points are not available, but their absence from the top echelon underlines their underdog status.

Deportivo Iztapa vs Deportivo Amatitlan Prediction: Win Probability & Odds

Based on all available data, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Deportivo Iztapa win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Deportivo Amatitlan win: 20%

These percentages reflect Iztapa's home advantage, superior league position, better recent form, and their 2-0 victory in the only head-to-head clash. The 25% draw probability accounts for the possibility that Amatitlan could defend deep and snatch a point, but their poor away record makes that scenario less likely.

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this match. When markets open, Deportivo Iztapa is expected to be priced as the favorite. Our prediction is a home win for Deportivo Iztapa, with the most probable outcome being a victory by a one or two-goal margin.