Jadran Dekani - NK Brezice 1919 prediction 27 October 2026

The Jadran Dekani vs NK Brezice 1919 prediction for the 2 SNL clash on October 27, 2026, points to a home win. Based on head-to-head dominance, league positions, and current form, Jadran Dekani is the clear favorite with a 52% win probability. The draw sits at 30%, while NK Brezice 1919 has only an 18% chance.

Team Form

Jadran Dekani’s last five matches show three wins and two losses. They beat Dren Vrhnika 1-0 (Oct 10), Ilirija 1-0 (Sep 25), and Krka 2-1 (Sep 20), but lost 0-1 at Triglav Kranj (Oct 16) and 0-2 at Bilje (Oct 6). The defense is solid – only two goals conceded in those three wins – highlighting a compact, low-scoring style.

NK Brezice 1919’s recent form is poor: one win, two draws, two defeats. They edged Krsko 2-1 at home on Oct 18, drew 2-2 at Jesenice (Oct 10) and 1-1 against NK Primorje Ajdovscina (Oct 3), then lost 0-1 at Slovan Ljubljana (Sep 27) and 3-4 at home to NK Rudar Velenje (Sep 19). Just one win in five, combined with a leaky defense (7 goals conceded in those four winless games), indicates vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H heavily favors Jadran Dekani. Across 10 meetings, they have 5 wins and 5 draws – NK Brezice 1919 has never won. The most recent clash on Mar 27, 2022 ended 0-0. Earlier, on Oct 27, 2018, Dekani won 4-1 at home. The pattern of Dekani dominance, especially on their own ground, is a powerful factor in this prediction.

League Table Positions

Jadran Dekani sits 10th in the 2 SNL with 15 points (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses; goals 7:7). NK Brezice 1919 does not appear in the top 12 of the league table, meaning they are in the relegation zone with fewer than 10 points. The gap in quality is substantial, further reinforcing the home side’s favoritism.

Win Probability: Jadran Dekani or NK Brezice 1919?

Jadran Dekani has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and NK Brezice 1919 has an 18% chance. The calculation starts from bookmaker odds (average implied probabilities of 41% home, 37% draw, 22% away) and adjusts upward for Dekani due to their unbeaten H2H record (5 wins, 5 draws), home advantage, superior league position, and Brezice’s poor away form (only one win in last five). The many historical draws keep the draw probability at a meaningful 30%, but the visitors’ inability to ever beat Dekani makes an away win the least likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer home win odds between 1.83 and 2.32, draw odds from 2.18 to 3.50, and away win odds from 3.60 to 4.50. The market correctly identifies Jadran Dekani as the favorite, with some value in the draw given the head-to-head history. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Jadran Dekani win, possibly by a narrow margin given their low-scoring profile. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline is plausible.