SC Verl - Jahn Regensburg prediction 14 October 2026

Our Jahn Regensburg vs SC Verl prediction for the 3rd Liga clash on Oct 14, 2026, assesses the chances of both sides. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, SC Verl enter as slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while Jahn Regensburg hold a 28% chance and the draw sits at 32%.

Team Form

SC Verl’s last five matches (D, L, W, D, W) show two wins, two draws, and one defeat. Their most recent result was a 2-2 away draw at Fortuna Dusseldorf on Oct 11. Before that, they lost 2-0 at Hannover 96 in a friendly, beat Wurzburger Kickers 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, and defeated SV Meppen 2-1 at home.

Jahn Regensburg’s last five results (W, L, D, L, D) include one win, two draws, and two losses. They thrashed TSV Havelse 5-0 at home on Oct 10, lost 6-0 at home to WSG Tirol in a friendly, drew 3-3 at VfB Stuttgart II, lost 2-1 at home to Fortuna Dusseldorf, and drew 2-2 at Alemannia Aachen. Regensburg’s form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five league outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings, Jahn Regensburg have dominated with 3 wins and 1 draw. SC Verl are yet to win this fixture (0W-1D-3L). The most recent encounter on Mar 3, 2026, ended SC Verl 1-2 Jahn Regensburg. Earlier, on Sep 28, 2025, Regensburg won 2-0 at home. The only draw was a 1-1 result on Jan 20, 2024, and the series started with a 2-1 away win for Regensburg on Aug 20, 2023.

League Table Positions

SC Verl sit 12th in the 3rd Liga with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses; goals 12-15). Jahn Regensburg are not listed in the top 12, meaning they are positioned even lower. This gives SC Verl a clear table advantage, though their home record across all venues has been mixed.

Win Probability: Jahn Regensburg or SC Verl?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: SC Verl win – 40%, draw – 32%, Jahn Regensburg win – 28%. The model starts from average bookmaker odds (home 2.28, draw 2.56, away 2.87), then adjusts upwards for SC Verl’s superior league position and slightly better recent form, while keeping Jahn Regensburg’s strong head-to-head record in focus, which prevents their win probability from dropping further. Home advantage also favours SC Verl, but the historical dominance of Jahn Regensburg makes this a very competitive fixture.

Odds & Jahn Regensburg vs SC Verl Prediction

Average pre-match prices show SC Verl at 2.28, a draw at 2.56, and a Jahn Regensburg away win at 2.87. Bookmakers see SC Verl as the favourite, though the tight margins reflect the uncertainty created by Regensburg’s perfect head-to-head record. Based on the stats, SC Verl have a slightly higher chance of winning, but a draw is a real possibility, and Regensburg cannot be counted out. Our final answer to Jahn Regensburg vs SC Verl prediction is a cautious home advantage call, with the draw as the most likely single outcome if the sides cancel each other out.