FC Dakar - Jamono Fatick prediction 26 October 2026

The FC Dakar vs Jamono Fatick prediction for this Senegal Ligue 2 clash on October 26 at 16:30 answers who will win. Based on the available data and bookmaker odds, Jamono Fatick enters as a slight favorite with an estimated 38% win probability, compared to FC Dakar's 35% and a 27% chance for a draw.

Team Form

FC Dakar's recent form is mixed. In their last three matches, they recorded one win and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 2-3 home defeat against AS Saloum in Ligue 2 on Oct 24. Prior to that, they secured a 2-1 home victory over Yeggo in the FA Cup and suffered a 0-1 home loss to Port Autonome, also in the FA Cup.

Jamono Fatick has struggled for consistency, failing to win any of their last five matches. Their form shows three draws and two losses. The most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against Essamaye FC in Ligue 2 on May 19. Before that, they lost 0-2 away at Teranga SC, drew 1-1 away at Oslo FA Dakar, drew 1-1 away at Dakar Universite Club, and lost 0-2 away at AS Douanes Dakar.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between FC Dakar and Jamono Fatick shows no historical meetings with a decided outcome. In the available data, home wins stand at 0, draws at 0, and away wins at 0. This makes their upcoming encounter a first-of-its-kind contest in terms of recent records.

League Table Positions

League table position data is not available in the provided match details. Both teams compete in Senegal's Ligue 2, but their exact standings and points totals cannot be determined from the given JSON dataset.

Win Probability: FC Dakar or Jamono Fatick?

Jamono Fatick has a 38% chance of winning, a draw stands at 27%, and FC Dakar has a 35% chance. These probabilities are calculated using the inverse of the provided 1X2 odds (home 2.75, draw 2.80, away 2.55), which after normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin give Jamono Fatick a slight edge. We then adjust for recent form: FC Dakar's last three matches include a win, showing some capability at home, while Jamono Fatick's winless run of five games—albeit with three draws—suggests a lack of cutting edge. With no head-to-head history to factor in, the marginal probability favors the away side due to stronger pre-match odds, but the high draw probability reflects Jamono Fatick's recent pattern of stalemates.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from bookmakers for the 1X2 market are: FC Dakar home win at 2.75, a draw at 2.80, and Jamono Fatick away win at 2.55. Bookmakers see Jamono Fatick as the slight favorite. Based on the stats, the match prediction points to a tight contest. Jamono Fatick's recent record of three draws in five games suggests they can hold opponents, but their inability to score or win makes a low-scoring draw a realistic outcome. FC Dakar's home advantage could prove crucial, yet their defensive record remains a concern. A draw or a narrow win for Jamono Fatick are the most probable scenarios.