Japan - Venezuela prediction 28 September 2026
Japan
VenezuelaJapan
New ZealandJapanEcuadorJapanVenezuelaJapanUruguayBrazilJapanJapanSwedenTunisiaJapanNetherlandsJapanJapanIcelandEnglandJapanScotlandJapanJapanBoliviaJapanGhanaJapanBrazilJapanParaguayJordanVenezuelaKorea RepublicVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaIraqVenezuelaVenezuelaTurkeyUzbekistanVenezuelaVenezuelaTrinidad and TobagoVenezuelaCanadaVenezuelaAustraliaArgentinaVenezuelaVenezuelaColombiaArgentinaVenezuelaUruguayVenezuelaVenezuelaBoliviaVenezuelaPeru- 8'EventK. Kumasaka
- 46'EventS. Saito
- 46'EventR. Sato
- 46'EventK. Goto
- 46'EventD. Kamada
- 46'EventL. Kokubo
- 46'EventK. Kelsy
- 49'EventA. Ueda
- 59'EventB. Castillo
- 60'EventD. Pereira
JapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapanVenezuelaJapan vs Venezuela Prediction (Sep 28)
The Japan vs Venezuela prediction for this Friendly International match on Sep 28 at 11:25 points to a clear favorite. Based on the latest odds and team form, Japan has a strong 72% chance of winning, while a draw sits at 20%, and Venezuela has an 8% chance of causing an upset.
Team Form
Japan enters this match with solid recent results, posting a form line of W-L-D-W-D. In their last five outings, they secured a 3-1 win over Uruguay (Sep 24), a 4-0 victory against Tunisia (Jun 21), and draws against Sweden (1-1, Jun 26) and the Netherlands (2-2, Jun 14). Their only loss in this stretch was a narrow 2-1 defeat to Brazil (Jun 29).
Venezuela's recent form reads W-L-D-W-L. They beat Iraq 2-0 (Jun 10) and Trinidad and Tobago 4-1 (Mar 27), but suffered losses to Turkey (1-2, Jun 6) and Canada (0-2, Nov 19). A 0-0 draw with Uzbekistan (Mar 30) completes their inconsistent run.
Head-to-Head Record
History heavily favors Japan in this fixture. Across 8 recorded meetings, Japan has 1 win and 7 draws, while Venezuela has never won. The most recent clash on Nov 19, 2019, ended in a 2-1 victory for Japan. The four prior encounters, all on Nov 16, 2018, finished as 1-1 draws.
League Table Positions
As a Friendly International, there are no league table positions or points gaps to analyze for this fixture.
Win Probability: Japan or Venezuela?
Japan has a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Venezuela has an 8% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.22, draw 2.32, away 7.75), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Japan's superior recent form and their unbeaten head-to-head record. The home advantage in this neutral-venue friendly is considered negligible, but Japan's consistency against stronger opponents solidifies their status as the overwhelming favorite.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Japan as the clear favorite. The best available odds are 1.22 for a Japan win, 2.32 for the draw, and 7.75 for a Venezuela victory. Based on the stats, a Japan win is the most likely outcome. The head-to-head record and Japan's stronger form suggest they will control the match, though Venezuela's occasional draws against Japan hint at a potentially tighter contest than the odds imply.
Japan vs Venezuela โ FAQ
- Who will win Japan vs Venezuela?
- Japan is the strong favorite to win this Friendly International match. Based on odds and team form, Japan has a 72% chance of winning, while a draw has a 20% probability, and Venezuela has just an 8% chance.
- What is the win probability for Japan?
- Japan has a 72% win probability. This is calculated from the best available odds of 1.22 for a home win, adjusted for their superior recent form (W-L-D-W-D) and an unbeaten head-to-head record against Venezuela.
- When is the Japan vs Venezuela match?
- The match is on Sep 28 at 11:25. It is a Friendly International fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.22 for a Japan win, 2.32 for a draw, and 7.75 for a Venezuela win. Other bookmakers offer variations, with Japan's odds as low as 1.22 and Venezuela's as high as 12.11.