Klubi 04 - JaPS prediction 26 September 2026

Klubi 04 vs JaPS prediction for the Ykkosliiga match on September 26, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, Klubi 04 is the favorite with a 42% win probability, while JaPS has a 28% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Klubi 04's last five matches: L, L, D, W, W. They lost to Haka (0-2) and JIPPO (1-3) away, drew 2-2 at home against KäPa, then won 6-2 away at SJK Akatemia and 4-3 at home against Mikkelin Palloilijat. Their attack has scored 13 goals in these five games, but defense conceded 12.

JaPS's recent form: W, L, W, D, L. They beat EIF 1-0 at home, lost 0-3 at KTP, won 3-2 at SJK Akatemia, drew 0-0 at home with KäPa, and lost 0-3 at PK-35 Vantaa. They have kept two clean sheets in this run.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 13 meetings, Klubi 04 has 6 wins, JaPS has 6 wins, and 1 draw. The most recent five encounters show JaPS dominance: JaPS won the last three, all with clean sheets (2-0, 1-0, 4-0). Klubi 04's last win was a 2-1 home victory in October 2025.

League Table Positions

In the Ykkosliiga standings, JaPS sits 5th with 35 points from 24 games (11W 2D 11L), while Klubi 04 is 9th with 20 points (4W 8D 12L). JaPS has a 15-point advantage. Klubi 04's home record is not among the top eight, indicating struggles at home, while JaPS's away record is 5th best in the league with 13 points from 12 away games (4W 1D 7L).

Win Probability: Klubi 04 or JaPS?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Klubi 04 has a 42% chance of winning, a draw is at 30%, and JaPS has a 28% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a higher probability for Klubi 04 (around 46%), but JaPS's superior league position and recent H2H dominance reduce the home side's edge. Klubi 04's home advantage and recent attacking form keep them as marginal favorites, but a draw or an away win are realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' 1X2 odds: Klubi 04 win at 1.70, draw at 2.42, JaPS win at 3.80. These odds suggest Klubi 04 is the favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, this match is likely to be closely contested. Klubi 04's home form has improved with two wins in a row, but JaPS has won the last three H2H meetings without conceding. A draw or a narrow home win are the most probable outcomes. Betting tips: the draw offers value at 2.42, while a JaPS win at 3.80 could be an upset pick given their recent record against Klubi 04.