Jazz - KuPS Akatemia prediction 18 October 2026

The Jazz vs KuPS Akatemia prediction for this Ykkonen clash on Jul 30, 2026, at 16:00 points to a home victory. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Jazz have a 48% win probability, while KuPS Akatemia sit at just 22%, with a draw rated at 30%.

Team Form

Jazz come into this match with a mixed recent record: two wins followed by three defeats (W, W, L, L, L). Their last outing was a convincing 4-0 home win over TPV on Jul 24, but prior to that they lost back-to-back home games against KPV Kokkola (0-1) and Tampere United (0-1).

KuPS Akatemia are winless in their last five matches (D, L, D, L, D). They drew 2-2 at home to VJS Vantaa on Jul 26, lost 3-1 at TPV, and drew 4-4 at JJK Jyvaskyla. The lack of victories — no wins in five — is a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Jazz have won twice and KuPS Akatemia once. The most recent encounter on May 09, 2026, saw Jazz win 2-1 away at KuPS Akatemia. The previous season, Jazz won 2-1 at home in July 2025, while KuPS Akatemia took a 2-1 home win in April 2025. Jazz clearly hold the psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Jazz sit 8th in the Ykkonen standings with 23 points from 16 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses, 22 goals scored, 23 conceded). KuPS Akatemia are 11th with only 10 points (2 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, 27 scored, 39 conceded). Notably, Jazz boast the second-best away record in the division, but at home they have been less convincing — not featuring in the top eight home table. KuPS Akatemia are absent from both the home and away top eights, underlining their struggles.

Win Probability: Jazz or KuPS Akatemia?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the average 1X2 odds (home 2.00, draw 2.75, away 3.60), the baseline probabilities were Jazz 43.8%, draw 31.9%, KuPS Akatemia 24.3%. Adjusting for recent form (Jazz’s two wins in five vs KuPS’s zero wins), the head-to-head advantage, and the league table gap, the final outcome chances are: Jazz win 48%, draw 30%, KuPS Akatemia win 22%. The home side is the clear favourite, but the draw remains a realistic possibility given Jazz’s inconsistent home form.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Jazz as the favourite, with best odds around 2.00 for a home win. The draw is priced at approximately 2.75, and an away win for KuPS Akatemia at 3.60. These odds reflect the gap in quality and recent results. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Jazz victory, but bettors should note that KuPS Akatemia have drawn three of their last five, so a tight contest cannot be ruled out.