Jazz - VJS Vantaa prediction 19 September 2026

The Jazz vs VJS Vantaa prediction for this Ykkonen match on Sep 19 at 12:00 leans towards the visitors as slight favorites. Based on odds, recent form, and league standings, VJS Vantaa has a 42% chance of winning, while Jazz holds a 35% probability, with the draw at 23%. The match at Porin Stadion is set to be a tight contest between two mid-table Finnish sides.

Team Form

Jazz comes into this fixture in solid shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws. Their recent home performances have been particularly strong: a 3-0 victory over KPV Kokkola on Sep 11, a 2-0 win against Inter Turku II on Aug 29, and a 1-1 draw with OLS on Aug 09. Away from home, they also secured a 2-0 win at SalPa on Aug 15. The team has scored 7 goals and conceded just 1 in their last three home matches.

VJS Vantaa's form is more mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They are coming off a 2-1 home win against Inter Turku II on Sep 12. Before that, they suffered a 2-0 away defeat at RoPS Rovaniemen on Aug 29 and played out a 4-4 thriller with JJK Jyvaskyla on Aug 16. Their away form shows one win, one draw, and one loss in the last three on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is closely contested. In their last six meetings across all competitions, Jazz has 2 wins, VJS Vantaa has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. The two most recent encounters, both in Ykkonen this season, ended in 1-1 stalemates: on Aug 23 at VJS Vantaa and on Jun 06 at Jazz. Historically, Jazz won 4-1 at home in a Kakkonen match in July 2022, while VJS Vantaa's sole victory was a 3-1 home win in October 2021.

League Table Positions

Jazz sits 4th in the Ykkonen table with 36 points from 23 matches, having won 10, drawn 6, and lost 7. They have scored 35 goals and conceded 29. VJS Vantaa is 7th with 34 points, recording 8 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with 40 goals scored and 32 conceded. Despite the three-place gap, only two points separate the sides. Jazz has the edge in away form, ranked 2nd in the league with 21 points from 11 away games, while VJS Vantaa is 6th in away standings with 14 points. At home, VJS Vantaa is 5th with 20 points from 12 matches.

Win Probability: Jazz or VJS Vantaa?

Based on the available odds (home 2.70, draw 3.55, away 2.10), we calculate the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin. The raw implied chances are approximately 37% for a Jazz win, 28% for a draw, and 48% for a VJS Vantaa win. After normalizing to 100% and adjusting for Jazz's stronger recent form (unbeaten in five) and home advantage, the final win probability is: Jazz 35%, draw 23%, VJS Vantaa 42%. The visitors are favored by bookmakers and our analysis, but Jazz's resilience makes a draw a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match are: Jazz win at 2.70, draw at 3.55, and VJS Vantaa win at 2.10. Bookmakers see VJS Vantaa as the favorite, reflecting their slightly higher league position and consistent scoring record. However, with both recent head-to-head meetings ending level and Jazz's strong home defensive record, the draw holds significant value. Our Jazz vs VJS Vantaa prediction is a narrow away win, but a low-scoring draw is a very plausible alternative based on the stats.