This Jeddeloh vs Atlas Delmenhorst prediction covers the Regionalliga match in Germany on Sep 16 at 16:30. Based on the available odds, current team form, and head-to-head record, Atlas Delmenhorst is the clear favorite with a 50% win probability, while Jeddeloh has a 22% chance and the draw is at 28%.
Jeddeloh enter this fixture with just one win in their last five matches (L, L, D, W, L). Their recent Regionalliga results include a 1-4 defeat at Kickers Emden, a 1-3 home loss to Hamburger SV II, and a 2-2 home draw with Hannover 96 II. The only win in that span was a 5-2 home victory against Heidenheim in the DFB Pokal, not a league match. They also lost 2-5 away to ETSV Weiche Flensburg.
Atlas Delmenhorst, by contrast, have won their last five matches (W, W, W, W, W). Their most recent result was a 5-2 home win over Todesfelde in the Regionalliga on Sep 06. Before that, they recorded four straight Oberliga wins: 0-1 away at SV Wilhelmshaven, 3-1 home against Holthausen-Biene, 2-1 home against Meppen II, and 1-4 away at TSV Wetschen. This strong run gives them a clear momentum edge.
In the last eight meetings between these teams, Atlas Delmenhorst lead with 4 wins to Jeddeloh's 3, with 1 draw. The most recent Regionalliga meeting was on Apr 21, 2023, when Atlas Delmenhorst beat Jeddeloh 4-2 at home. Jeddeloh won their most recent home fixture against Atlas Delmenhorst 2-0 in a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 21, 2023, and also won 3-1 at home in the Regionalliga on Oct 14, 2022. Atlas Delmenhorst won 1-0 at home in November 2021. Home advantage has played a role, but Atlas Delmenhorst hold the overall head-to-head edge.
After normalizing the bookmaker odds (home 3.80, draw 2.60, away 2.10) and adjusting for team form and head-to-head data, the win probability for this match is: Jeddeloh 22%, draw 28%, Atlas Delmenhorst 50%. The away side's five-match winning streak and their 4-3 head-to-head lead outweigh Jeddeloh's historical home success. Therefore, Atlas Delmenhorst is more likely to win, but the draw is a reasonable secondary outcome.
Bookmakers have priced Atlas Delmenhorst as the favorite with odds of 2.10 for an away win. A home win for Jeddeloh is available at 3.80, and the draw is at 2.60. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is an Atlas Delmenhorst victory. Jeddeloh's poor recent Regionalliga form and Atlas Delmenhorst's perfect run support that view. Still, Jeddeloh's home wins in the H2H record mean an upset is possible.