Drochtersen / Assel - Jeddeloh prediction 3 October 2026

Drochtersen / Assel vs Jeddeloh prediction for the Regionalliga match on October 3, 2026, at 13:00 local time. According to our analysis based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Drochtersen / Assel step onto the pitch as clear favourites with a win probability of 58%.

Team Form

Drochtersen / Assel come into this fixture in strong shape. Their last five results read D–W–W–W–L, yielding 10 points from a possible 15. On September 25 they drew 3-3 away at FSV Schoningen 2011, then secured a 1-0 home win over FC St. Pauli II on September 19. The highlight was an 8-2 thrashing of Kickers Emden at home on September 15. They followed that with a 3-2 away victory against VfB Lubeck on August 29. The only blemish was a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Werder Bremen II on August 26. Overall, the side has scored 15 goals in those five outings, demonstrating attacking firepower.

Jeddeloh, on the other hand, have been far less consistent. Their last five results are L–W–W–L–L. They suffered a heavy 0-4 home loss to Eintracht Norderstedt on September 26, but bounced back with a 3-1 away win at VfB Oldenburg 1897 on September19 and a 5-0 home demolition of Atlas Delmenhorst on September16. Unfortunately, those results were sandwiched between a 1-4 away defeat to Kickers Emden on September12 and a 1-3 home loss to Hamburger SV II on September5. The defense has leaked 12 goals in the same period, a worrying statistic ahead of this trip.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history strongly favours Drochtersen / Assel. In 15 previous meetings, they have won 6, Jeddeloh just2, with7 draws. The most recent five encounters:

• May16, 2026: Jeddeloh2–2 Drochtersen / Assel (D)
• Oct31, 2025: Drochtersen / Assel3–1 Jeddeloh (W)
• Dec7, 2024: Drochtersen / Assel0–1 Jeddeloh (L)
• Oct8, 2023: Drochtersen / Assel2–2 Jeddeloh (D)
• Nov27, 2022: Jeddeloh0–0 Drochtersen / Assel (D)

Jeddeloh's sole win in this group came on the road in December2024. Otherwise Drochtersen / Assel have gone unbeaten in 4 of the last5 H2H matches, scoring at least2 goals in three of them.

Win Probability: Drochtersen / Assel or Jeddeloh?

We start with the inverse of the best available odds (1.40 home, 2.80 draw, 5.50 away) and normalize to remove the bookmaker margin. The raw implied probabilities are approximately57% for a home win,28.5% for a draw, and14.5% for an away win. We adjust further using the evidence on the pitch: Drochtersen / Assel's superior recent form (3 wins,1 draw,1 loss versus Jeddeloh's2 wins,0 draws,3 losses), a massive goal-difference advantage, and overwhelming head-to-head dominance (6 wins to2). Consequently, we nudge the home probability up slightly and the draw down. The final outcome chances are: Drochtersen / Assel has a58% chance of winning, the draw sits at27%, and Jeddeloh has just a15% chance. The numbers clearly point to a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' 1X2 market leaves no room for doubt. Best available odds show Drochtersen / Assel at1.40, the draw at2.80, and an away win as high as5.50. Such pricing indicates the home side is heavily fancied. After weighing all the statistics, our match prediction sides with the favourite: a comfortable home win for Drochtersen / Assel. If you are looking for betting tips, simply backing the home victory at1.40 is the safest play, but given Drochtersen's recent 8-2 result, the over2.5 goals market could also attract attention.