Jendouba Sport - Bouchamma prediction 19 October 2026

Our Jendouba Sport vs Bouchamma prediction for this League 2 match on Oct 19 at 14:30 is that the hosts are favorites, carrying about a 45% win probability based on recent results and head-to-head dominance. The visitors Bouchamma, despite strong home form, have a calculated 28% chance of winning away, with the draw at around 27%.

Team Form

Jendouba Sport's recent outings show a pattern of results: W, L, W, L, W. This run includes a 3-1 win at Kalaa Sport on May 12, a narrow 1-0 loss at EGS Gafsa on Apr 28, a 2-1 home victory against Bouchamma on Apr 22, a 2-1 cup defeat at Club Sportif Sfaxien on Apr 19, and a 3-1 win at CO Sidi Bouzid on Apr 11. With three wins in five, their attacking output is notable, scoring at least once in four of those matches.

Bouchamma's last five results read W, D, W, L, W. They secured a 1-0 home win against CS Korba on Sep 27, drew 1-1 at home with CS Korba on May 12, thrashed AS Ariana 5-0 at home on Apr 28, lost 2-1 away to Jendouba Sport on Apr 22, and beat US Ksour Essef 4-1 at home on Apr 11. Their overall record is positive, but the only defeat in this sequence came in the direct meeting against today's opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

Jendouba Sport and Bouchamma have met twice previously. Jendouba Sport hold a clear edge with 1 win and 1 draw, while Bouchamma are yet to secure a win. The most recent clash was on Apr 22, 2026, when Jendouba Sport claimed a 2-1 home victory. The first encounter on Nov 23, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw at Bouchamma's ground. These results underline Jendouba Sport's ability to avoid defeat against this opponent so far.

League Table Positions

In the League 2 overall standings, Jendouba Sport hold 12th position with 6 points from 3 matches, having won 2 and lost 1, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1. Bouchamma are not listed in the provided top segments of the overall table. Looking at the home standings, Bouchamma feature prominently in 2nd place with 6 points from 2 home games, posting a perfect home record with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. Jendouba Sport do not appear in the top home standings. In the away table, neither team appears, meaning Jendouba Sport's points have likely come at home, while Bouchamma's away performances have not placed them among the top eight.

Win Probability: Jendouba Sport or Bouchamma?

Based on the available data without explicit bookmaker odds, we derive the outcome probabilities from head-to-head records, recent form, and home advantage. Jendouba Sport, playing at home, have a 45% chance of winning. The draw probability is estimated at 27%. Bouchamma's away win probability is calculated at 28%.

The reasoning: Jendouba Sport won the most recent head-to-head meeting at this venue, and their overall H2H record (1W, 1D) suggests psychological dominance. While Bouchamma show strong home form, their absence from the away standings indicates potential vulnerabilities on the road. Additionally, Jendouba Sport's recent W/L/W/L/W pattern hints at a bounce-back capability following a loss. The outcome most aligned with the data is a Jendouba Sport victory, though a tight contest is expected given Bouchamma's general competitiveness.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this fixture are not available in the provided data. Nevertheless, based on the stats, the match prediction leans towards a home win for Jendouba Sport. Their proven track record in the H2H and the fact they overcame Bouchamma 2-1 on Apr 22, 2026, gives them a statistical edge. While Bouchamma have shown they can find the net, their lack of away table prominence suggests they might struggle to claim all three points.