Lysekloster - Jerv prediction 4 October 2026
Lysekloster
Jerv
VidarLyseklosterLyseklosterTraeffEik-TonsbergLyseklosterLyseklosterJervLyseklosterSandvikenPors GrenlandLyseklosterLyseklosterMjondalenNotoddenLyseklosterArendalLyseklosterLyseklosterKvik HaldenBrattvagLyseklosterLyseklosterBjargJervLyseklosterLyseklosterBrattvagSandvikenLyseklosterBjargJervJervSotraJervArendalLyseklosterJervJervNotoddenKvik HaldenJervJervEgersundJervBrattvagMjondalenJervJervPors GrenlandSandvikenJervJervVidarTraeffJervJervLyseklosterSotraJervLyseklosterJervJervLyseklosterJervLyseklosterLyseklosterJervLyseklosterJerv| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 53:26 | +27 | 56 |
| 2 |  Brattvag | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 55:34 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 |  Bjarg | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 56:31 | +25 | 50 |
| 4 |  Mjondalen | 25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 48:33 | +15 | 50 |
| 5 |  Sotra | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 58:31 | +27 | 45 |
| 6 |  Notodden | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38:34 | +4 | 35 |
| 7 |  Traeff | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 40:47 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 |  Kvik Halden | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |  Arendal | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 |  Pors Grenland | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 |  Sandviken | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 34:52 | -18 | 22 |
| 13 |  Eik-Tonsberg | 25 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 28:56 | -28 | 13 |
| 14 |  Vidar | 25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 23:65 | -42 | 13 |
Jerv vs Lysekloster Prediction (Jul 26)
The Jerv vs Lysekloster prediction for the 2nd Division match on Jul 26, 2026, at 12:30 points firmly towards a home victory. Based on odds, league standings, and recent form, Jerv enters this clash as the overwhelming favorite with a 78% win probability.
Team Form
Jerv is in outstanding shape, collecting four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Sotra 3-1, Brattvag 2-1, Sandviken 2-1, and Kvik Halden 2-1, with a goalless draw at Notodden the only minor blemish. The attack has been consistent, and the defense has conceded just four goals in that run.
Lyseklosterโs form is far less convincing. Their last five results read draw, win, loss, loss, draw. A 3-2 win at Sandviken was a highlight, but heavy defeats to Notodden (0-2) and Kvik Halden (0-4) exposed defensive frailties. They have managed only one victory in this spell and struggle for consistency.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record surprisingly favors Lysekloster, who have won all three previous meetings. The most recent encounter on Aug 24, 2025, ended 1-0 to Lysekloster, while earlier clashes saw 3-0 and 3-1 wins for the away side. However, those results came in different seasons, and Jervโs current dominance suggests a shift in power.
League Table Positions
Jerv sits top of the 2nd Division with 32 points from 12 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They boast the best defensive record in the league, conceding only 10 goals. At home, they are unbeaten with 4 wins and 1 draw. Lysekloster, in contrast, is 12th with just 11 points (2 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses) and a goal difference of -9. The 21-point gap underlines the gulf in class.
Win Probability: Jerv or Lysekloster?
Jerv has a 78% chance of winning, the draw is at 14%, and Lyseklosterโs win probability is just 8%. These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for Jervโs top form, home advantage, and league position. Lyseklosterโs perfect H2H record prevents a higher home probability, but the stats overwhelmingly point to a Jerv victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Jerv as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a home win range from 1.25 to 1.28, while a draw is priced between 2.80 and 6.56, and an away win between 6.25 and 10.09. Based on the stats, Jerv is expected to win comfortably, likely keeping a clean sheet. The prediction is a home win, but Lyseklosterโs historical edge adds a small note of caution.
Jerv vs Lysekloster โ FAQ
- Who will win Jerv vs Lysekloster?
- Jerv is the strong favorite with a 78% win probability. The draw has a 14% chance, and Lysekloster only an 8% chance. Jervโs top league position and excellent form make them the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Jerv?
- Jerv has a 78% chance of winning. This high probability is based on bookmaker odds, their unbeaten league record, and a run of four wins in five matches.
- When is the Jerv vs Lysekloster match?
- The match is scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, at 12:30. It is a Norwegian 2nd Division fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary across bookmakers. A Jerv win is priced around 1.25โ1.28, a draw at 2.80โ6.56, and a Lysekloster win at 6.25โ10.09. Jerv is the clear betting favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Jerv and Lysekloster?
- Lysekloster has won all three previous meetings, including a 1-0 away win in August 2025. Despite this, Jervโs current form and league standing suggest a different outcome this time.