Shandong Taishan B - Jiangxi Lushan prediction 26 October 2026

The Shandong Taishan B vs Jiangxi Lushan prediction points to a home victory in this China League Two clash on October 26, 2026, at 07:30 UTC. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Shandong Taishan B enters the match as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability, while Jiangxi Lushan faces an uphill battle at 22%.

Team Form

Shandong Taishan B's last five matches show a mixed run: two draws, one win, one loss, and one draw (D, D, W, L, D). Their most recent outing was a 0-0 stalemate away at Hangzhou Linping Wuyue on October 17. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic and secured a solid 2-0 away win at Shenzhen 2028 FC. The only defeat in this stretch came against Jiangxi Lushan themselves on September 18, losing 2-1 away.

Jiangxi Lushan's form is slightly worse: one draw, two losses, one win, and one loss (D, L, L, W, L). They played out a 0-0 home draw with Shanghai Port B on October 17, but suffered back-to-back defeats before that — 2-1 at Xian Chongde Ronghai and 1-0 at home to Dalian Kewei. Their sole recent victory was the 2-1 home win over Shandong Taishan B on September 18.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Shandong Taishan B hold a 2-1 advantage. The most recent encounter on September 18, 2026, saw Jiangxi Lushan win 2-1 at home. Prior to that, Shandong Taishan B won 3-1 away on August 2, 2025, and 2-0 at home on May 26, 2025. There have been no draws in this fixture, with both sides capable of taking all three points.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in China League Two. While exact table positions and points are not available in the provided data, the head-to-head record and recent form suggest a competitive mid-table dynamic. Shandong Taishan B's home advantage at Zoucheng Sports Center (capacity 30,000) could be a decisive factor.

Win Probability: Shandong Taishan B or Jiangxi Lushan?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: Shandong Taishan B has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Jiangxi Lushan has a 22% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 53-57% before adjustments, but Jiangxi Lushan's recent H2H win and Shandong's inconsistent form slightly lower the home figure. The draw gets a moderate boost from Shandong's three draws in five games. Overall, Shandong Taishan B are more likely to win, but an upset is not off the table.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the board see Shandong Taishan B as the favorite. The best available home win odds are 1.91, with other bookies offering 1.77, 1.75, 1.73, and 1.70. The draw is priced between 2.00 and 3.40, while an away win for Jiangxi Lushan ranges from 4.50 to 4.95. These odds reflect a clear hierarchy: Shandong Taishan B are expected to control the game at home. Our prediction aligns with the stats — a home win is the most probable outcome, but the value might lie in the draw given Shandong's recent tendency to share points.