Wenzhou FC - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic prediction 24 October 2026

The Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Wenzhou FC prediction for this China. League Two match on Sep 18 at 08:00 sees the home side as the slight favorite. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head record, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Wenzhou FC has a 20% chance. This preview breaks down all the key stats to help you decide where the value lies.

Team Form

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic's last five results show a mixed but resilient run: W, L, D, W, D. They secured a 2-1 away win at Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, lost 3-1 at Beijing Guoan in the FA Cup, drew 0-0 at Xian Chongde Ronghai, beat Shanghai Port B 1-0 at home, and drew 2-2 at Kewei, Dalian. At home, they have been solid, keeping a clean sheet in their most recent home fixture.

Wenzhou FC's last five matches read W, W, D, D, L. They beat Dalian Yingbo FC U21 1-0 at home, won 2-0 at Xiamen Feilu, drew 1-1 at home with Shenzhen 2028 FC, drew 0-0 at Guangdong Mingtu, and lost 0-2 at home to Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic. The away form is decent with a win and a draw in the last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, both in China. League Two. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic holds the edge with one win and one draw, remaining unbeaten. The most recent clash on Oct 05, 2025, ended 1-0 to Lanzhou at home. The earlier meeting on Aug 31, 2025, finished 0-0 at Wenzhou. The head-to-head record strongly suggests a low-scoring affair and a home advantage for Lanzhou.

Win Probability: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic or Wenzhou FC?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 45%, draw 35%, Wenzhou FC 20%. The bookmakers' average odds of 2.05 for a home win and 2.05 for a draw indicate a very even contest, but the head-to-head dominance and home field tilt the balance toward Lanzhou. Wenzhou's away form is respectable, but they have struggled to beat Lanzhou in previous encounters.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from four bookmakers show a tight market: home win odds range from 1.91 to 2.10, draw odds from 1.80 to 2.64, and away win odds from 3.86 to 5.00. The wide spread on the draw suggests some disagreement, but the consensus is that Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is the most likely winner. Our prediction: based on the stats, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is the value pick to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory aligns with the form and H2H trends.