Shanghai Segenda vs Wenzhou FC prediction for the China. League Two match on Oct 6, 2026, at 08:30. Based on odds and recent form, Shanghai Segenda has a 40% chance of winning, while Wenzhou FC has a 25% chance, with a draw at 35%. The bookmakers see the home side as the favorite, but their recent struggles suggest a tight contest.
Shanghai Segenda's last five matches: D, L, D, L, L. They have failed to win in their last five outings, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 7. Their most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against Hubei Istar Chufeng Heli on Sep 19.
Wenzhou FC's last five matches: L, W, W, D, D. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss, showing more consistency. Their last match was a 2-0 away defeat to Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic on Sep 18.
There are no previous meetings between Shanghai Segenda and Wenzhou FC, making this their first competitive encounter.
Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 40%, Draw 35%, Wenzhou FC 25%. The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability around 42%, but Shanghai Segenda's poor recent form (no wins in five) reduces their edge. Wenzhou FC's better form (two wins in five) and the lack of head-to-head data tilt the balance slightly toward a more even contest, with a draw being a strong possibility.
The best available odds for this match are: Shanghai Segenda win at 2.10, draw at 2.90, and Wenzhou FC win at 3.40 (from various bookmakers). Other odds range from 1.98 to 2.00 for a home win, 1.95 to 2.89 for a draw, and 3.40 to 4.50 for an away win. Bookmakers clearly favor Shanghai Segenda, but the wide range on the draw and away odds suggests uncertainty. Our prediction: a draw is a likely outcome given the home side's struggles and Wenzhou's resilience. A 1-1 scoreline could be on the cards.