JaPS - JIPPO prediction 9 October 2026

The JIPPO vs JaPS prediction for this Ykkosliiga match on Jul 30, 2026, at 15:30 points to a home-favorite scenario. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, JIPPO has a 58% chance of winning, while a draw is at 28% and JaPS at 14%.

Team Form

JIPPO are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Their most recent result was a 1-1 away draw at PK-35 Vantaa on Jul 25. Before that, they beat Mikkelin Palloilijat 3-1 at home and Klubi 04 2-0 away. The team has been solid defensively, conceding just 12 goals in 16 league games overall.

JaPS have been more inconsistent, with three wins and two losses in their last five. They won their last outing 2-0 at home against Klubi 04 and also beat EIF 1-0 away, but suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at KTP and a 3-1 loss at KäPa. Their away form shows three wins and four losses in eight road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is extremely balanced. In 18 previous meetings, JIPPO have won 5, JaPS 6, and 7 ended in draws. The last five encounters have been dominated by stalemates: four draws and one JIPPO win (1-0 away in the Ykkoscup in January 2026). The most recent league meeting, on Apr 6, 2026, finished 0-0. This history suggests another tight contest is likely.

League Table Positions

In the Ykkosliiga standings, JIPPO sit 4th with 28 points from 16 games (7 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses). They have the second-best defensive record in the league, conceding only 12 goals. JaPS are 5th with 25 points (8 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses), but they have scored only 16 goals while conceding 23. At home, JIPPO have been hard to beat: 3 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss, with only 4 goals conceded in 8 matches. JaPS away have managed 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 15.

Win Probability: JIPPO or JaPS?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• JIPPO win: 58%
• Draw: 28%
• JaPS win: 14%

The bookmakers' opening odds (1.51 for a home win, 4.23 for a draw, 6.88 for an away win) imply probabilities of roughly 63%, 23%, and 14% after removing the margin. However, JIPPO's tendency to draw (7 of 16 league games) and the head-to-head pattern (4 draws in the last 5 meetings) lead us to increase the draw probability to 28% and slightly lower the home win chance. JaPS' away struggles and JIPPO's defensive solidity at home make an away win unlikely. Therefore, JIPPO are the more likely winners, but a draw is a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Ykkosliiga fixture show JIPPO as clear favorites at around 1.51, with the draw at 4.23 and a JaPS victory at 6.88. These odds reflect the home side's stronger league position and defensive record. Our JIPPO vs JaPS prediction is a home win, but with caution given the high draw frequency in this matchup. Based on the stats, a low-scoring game is probable, and betting tips might consider the draw no bet market or under 2.5 goals.