| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | 3.00 | 2.96 | |
| 2.38 | 1.95 | 3.50 | |
| 2.38 | 2.00 | 3.25 | |
| 2.38 | 2.00 | 3.25 | |
| 2.35 | 2.05 | 3.30 | |
| 2.30 | 2.05 | 3.50 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | +15 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | +13 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
Our Dodoma vs Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars prediction for this Tanzania Premier League fixture on October 27, 2026, gives the hosts a clear edge. After evaluating all available data, we estimate a 45% win probability for Dodoma, a 30% chance of a draw, and only a 25% likelihood of an away victory for Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars.
Dodoma head into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W3 D2). In that sequence they recorded a 3-0 away win at Geita Gold, 1-0 home wins over Namungo FC and Mashujaa FC, and goalless draws against Young Africans SC Mbagala and Singida Black Stars SC. They conceded just one goal across those five games.
Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars are in even flashier form, winning all of their last five matches. That run includes a 1-0 home success against Kagera Sugar, a 2-1 home win over Mbeya City, a 2-1 away victory at Singida Fountain Gate FC, a 3-0 defeat of Pamba SC at home, and a 2-1 triumph against Namungo FC. The visitors have scored 10 times in those five contests.
The H2H history heavily favours Dodoma. In seven previous meetings, Dodoma have won five and drawn two, with Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars yet to record a single victory. The most recent encounter, on June 24, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Earlier that year, on January 30, 2026, Dodoma won 1-0 away at Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars. Other notable results include a 2-2 draw in April 2025 and consecutive 1-0 Dodoma wins in October 2024 and October 2023.
In the overall Premier League standings, Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars sit 4th with 16 points from 9 matches (5W, 1D, 3L), while Dodoma are 5th with 14 points from 8 games (4W, 2D, 2L). Dodoma hold a game in hand and a slightly superior points-per-game average. The home/away splits are revealing: Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars have a poor away record (1 win, 3 defeats in 4 road trips, ranking 8th in the away table), whereas Dodoma boast the 4th best away record in the league and have been solid at the back all season.
We derived the outcome probabilities by averaging the bookmaker odds (2.38 home, 2.25 draw, 3.28 away), calculating the implied chances, and then adjusting for the dominant H2H record, Dodomaโs home advantage, and Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Starsโ weak away form. The final numbers:
Despite Jktโs five-match winning streak, their travel struggles and Dodomaโs historical control of this fixture tip the scales towards the home side.
Bookmakers see a tight contest. The consensus odds (1X2 market) are around 2.52 for a Dodoma win, 3.27 for the draw, and 2.92 for a Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars win. Some books go as low as 2.30 on the home side and as high as 3.50 on the away upset. Based on the stats, Dodoma are the most likely winners, and a low-scoring home victory or a draw mirrors the recent H2H pattern. A draw no bet on Dodoma or a cautious home double chance could offer value.