Johvi FC Phoenix - Tallinna Kalev II prediction 14 September 2026

The Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev 2 prediction for Sep 14, 2026, takes center stage as these two Esiliiga B sides clash at 15:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Johvi FC Phoenix enters this contest as the clear favorite, holding a 55% chance of winning, while Tallinna Kalev 2 faces a 20% probability of an away victory.

Team Form

Johvi FC Phoenix has been impressive on the road recently. In their last five matches, all away from home, they secured three wins, one draw, and one loss. They defeated Parnu JK Vaprus 2 3-2, FA Tartu Kalev 3-0, and Tammeka Tartu Reserves 3-2, drew 2-2 with Tabasalu Jk Charma, and suffered a 6-2 loss against FCI Levadia Tallinn U19. Their attack has been potent, netting 13 goals in these five games.

Tallinna Kalev 2's form is more inconsistent. Their last five matches yielded two wins, two draws, and one heavy defeat. They beat Tabasalu Jk Charma 4-1 at home and Viljandi Tulevik 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 away to FA Tartu Kalev and 3-3 at home to Tallinna JK Legion, but were crushed 7-0 away by Parnu JK Vaprus 2. The team has conceded 13 goals in this stretch, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on Aug 09, 2026, in Esiliiga B. Tallinna Kalev 2 hosted that fixture and won 3-1. Johvi FC Phoenix will aim to reverse that result on home soil.

League Table Positions

In the overall Esiliiga B standings, Tallinna Kalev 2 sits 8th with 26 points from 28 matches (7 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses). Johvi FC Phoenix is not listed in the top nine, suggesting a lower position, but their recent performances indicate a team capable of competing against mid-table opponents. Tallinna Kalev 2's away record shows just 2 wins from 13 outings, which supports the home side's favoritism.

Win Probability: Johvi FC Phoenix or Tallinna Kalev 2?

The win probabilities, derived from bookmaker odds and adjusted for current form and home advantage, are: Johvi FC Phoenix win 55%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 2 win 20%. The average implied probabilities from five sets of pre-match odds normalize to approximately 55% for the home side, reflecting strong confidence in Johvi FC Phoenix. Their solid scoring form and Tallinna Kalev 2's recent defensive struggles reinforce this outlook, making a home win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Johvi FC Phoenix as the favorite, with typical odds around 1.50 for a home win, 3.10 for a draw, and 4.00 for an away win. One bookmaker, for example, offers 1.56 on Johvi FC Phoenix, 5.17 on the draw, and 4.33 on Tallinna Kalev 2. Based on the stats, the value lies with the home side, and the prediction is for Johvi FC Phoenix to secure the victory.