JOS Watergraafsmeer vs TEC prediction for the KNVB Beker match on September 23, 2026 at 19:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, TEC is the favorite with a 51% win probability, while JOS Watergraafsmeer has a 20% chance and a draw stands at 29%.
JOS Watergraafsmeer's last five results: W, L, L, L, W. Their most recent outing was a 4-2 away win against Dongen in the KNVB Beker on Sep 2, 2026. However, the other four matches in this sequence date back to the 2022/23 season, where they suffered three defeats: 0-2 at Baronie Breda (Jan 29, 2023), 0-5 at Blauw Geel '38 (Dec 11, 2022), and a 0-1 home loss to ADO '20 (Nov 13, 2022). The only other win came at home against RKSV UDI 1919 (3-1) on Oct 9, 2022. This mixed form, with most data being old, makes their current strength hard to gauge.
TEC's last five results: W, W, L, W, D. They are in strong form, winning three of their last four matches. On Sep 20, 2026, they beat USV Hercules 4-2 away in the Derde Divisie. In the KNVB Beker, they defeated VV Almkerk 4-2 at home on Sep 1, 2026. Their only recent loss was a 0-1 defeat at ACV Assen on Aug 15, 2026. Earlier, they recorded a 3-0 home win over RKSV Neo (Jun 7, 2026) and a 0-0 draw with USV Hercules (May 23, 2026). TEC's consistent performances and scoring ability make them a formidable opponent.
There are no previous meetings between JOS Watergraafsmeer and TEC. This will be their first competitive encounter, so no head-to-head trends can influence the prediction.
Based on the odds, recent form, and the fact that TEC plays away, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
TEC is the clear favorite. Their superior form (three wins in the last four matches) and the bookmakers' odds heavily point to an away victory. JOS Watergraafsmeer's inconsistent results and the lack of recent competitive data at a high level reduce their chances. The draw probability is moderate, reflecting the cup tie's potential for a tight contest, but the most likely outcome is a TEC win.
Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds for this match: JOS Watergraafsmeer win at 4.60, draw at 3.10, and TEC win at 1.78. These odds imply a strong away favorite. Our prediction: TEC to win. The stats and betting market both suggest that TEC has the highest probability of securing the victory. While cup matches can produce surprises, the data clearly favors the away side.