Jove Espanol - CD Roda prediction 10 October 2026

Our Jove Espanol vs CD Roda prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on October 10, 2026, at 16:00 local time, points to a home victory. Jove Espanol have a 45% chance of winning, while the draw is at 30% and CD Roda have a 25% chance. The head-to-head record and home advantage give the hosts the edge, but recent form suggests this could be a closely fought contest.

Team Form

Jove Espanol come into this match with a mixed bag of results. In their last five outings, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring 6 goals and conceding 10. The sequence started with a heavy 4-0 defeat at Torrent on September 5, followed by a 2-2 home draw against Hercules CF Reserves on September 13. A 2-1 loss at UD Vall De Uxo on September 20 was followed by a 1-1 home draw with Acero on September 26. Most recently, they secured a 2-1 away win at CD Soneja on October 3. That victory ended a four-match winless run and could provide a confidence boost.

CD Roda's form is slightly better, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They started with a 2-1 home win over Ontinyent on September 6, then lost 2-1 at Villarreal C on September 13. Back-to-back 1-1 draws followed: at home to Crevillente Deportivo on September 19 and away at Utiel on September 27. Their most recent match was a solid 2-0 home win against FC Torrevieja on October 3. CD Roda have been harder to beat lately, losing just once in five.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these two sides heavily favors Jove Espanol. In 10 meetings, Jove Espanol have won 6, CD Roda have won 2, and 2 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters underline that dominance: Jove Espanol won 2-1 at home on March 29, 2026; won 1-0 away on November 15, 2025; won 2-1 away on February 2, 2025; won 2-1 at home on March 3, 2024; and drew 3-3 away on October 15, 2023. CD Roda have not beaten Jove Espanol in any of the last five meetings, and their last victory in this fixture dates back to 2023.

Win Probability: Jove Espanol or CD Roda?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities based on the available data: Jove Espanol win – 45%, draw – 30%, CD Roda win – 25%. The home team gets the highest percentage due to their historical superiority in this matchup and the advantage of playing at their own ground. However, Jove Espanol's recent form (one win in five) prevents a higher confidence level. CD Roda's 25% chance reflects their improved results and the possibility of an upset, but their poor head-to-head record on the road makes them the underdog. The draw at 30% is a significant probability, as both teams have drawn two of their last five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this Tercera Federacion fixture. Without market prices, our prediction relies solely on statistical analysis. Jove Espanol are the expected winners, but the value could be in backing the draw given the recent form of both sides. Our final match prediction: Jove Espanol to win, but with a low margin of confidence. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is the most likely scoreline based on past head-to-head results.