Justo Jose Urquiza - Deportivo Paraguayo prediction 12 October 2026

Justo Jose Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo prediction for the Argentine Primera C Metropolitana match on October 12, 2026, at 19:00 local time. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Justo Jose Urquiza are the home favourites to win, but the draw is the most probable overall outcome with a 42% chance. Our full analysis of team form, head-to-head record and odds is below.

Team Form

Justo Jose Urquiza have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. Most recently they beat Puerto Nuevo 4-1 away on October 4, with previous results: a 1-2 home loss to Leandro Niceforo Alem, a 0-0 away draw at Defensores de Cambaceres, a 0-0 home draw against General Lamadrid, and a 2-0 home win over Juventud Unida San Miguel. At home they have been inconsistent (W1 D1 L1 in the last three at this stadium), but the 2-0 victory shows they can control games.

Deportivo Paraguayo’s last five results are three draws, one win and one loss. They have drawn three in a row: 1-1 at home to Club Mercedes (twice, on October 5) and 1-1 at home to CA Lugano on September 26. Before that they won 3-2 away at Puerto Nuevo and lost 0-3 away at Club Lujan. The team has struggled to turn draws into wins, especially away where the heavy defeat at Lujan exposed fragility.

Head-to-Head Record

The last two meetings between these sides have both been played at Deportivo Paraguayo’s ground. In2024 Deportivo Paraguayo won1-0, and in June2026 the match ended0-0. There are no previous clashes at Justo Jose Urquiza’s venue. The head-to-head tally reads: Deportivo Paraguayo1 win,1 draw, Justo Jose Urquiza0 wins. Historically the away team has the edge, but home advantage for this fixture could shift the balance.

League Table Positions

Neither Justo Jose Urquiza nor Deportivo Paraguayo appear in the top12 of the Primera C Metropolitana standings. Club Lujan lead the table with61 points from31 matches, followed by Canuelas (58pts) and Central Cordoba (49pts). The exact positions of the two teams are outside the provided data, but they are clearly in the lower half of the division. Both sides are likely battling to climb away from the bottom reaches, making this a tight contest where a draw may suit neither.

Win Probability: Justo Jose Urquiza or Deportivo Paraguayo?

Using the average bookmaker odds (home2.52, draw2.10, away4.36) as a base—and removing the margin—the initial implied chances are36% for a home win,43% for the draw, and21% for an away win. We adjust for the home factor, recent form and the head-to-head. Justo Jose Urquiza’s home strength and deporTivo Paraguayos’s poor away record lift the home win probability slightly. Our final win probabilities are:

• Justo Jose Urquiza win: 38% – the hosts are the favourite to win, backed by home advantage and a2-0 home result last time out at this ground.
• Draw: 42% – strong ods signal and both teams’ recent patterns of draws make a stalemate the single most likely outcome.
• Deportivo Paraguayo win: 20% – an away win would be a surprise given the long odds and their struggles on the road.

The draw is the standout probability, but the home side has a realistic chance to take all three points if they can replicate the performance that saw them beat Juventud Unida.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the three-way market: first bookmaker lists Justo Jose Urquiza at2.68, the draw at1.85, and DeporTivo Paraguayo at4.75. Other prices range from2.15 to2.68 for the home win,1.85 to2.90 for the draw, and3.50 to4.75 for the away win. The short draw odds confirm that fixed-odds markets expect a low-el-scoring tight affair.

Our Justo Jose Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo prediction: based on the stats, the most probable result is a draw. A0-0 or1-1 scoreline seems very plausible. For betting tips, the under2.5 goals market appeals, as both sides have been involved in numerous low-dcoring draws. The home win holds value if odds drift above2.75, but the safer play remains the draw.