Puerto Nuevo - Justo Jose Urquiza prediction 4 October 2026

The Puerto Nuevo vs Justo Jose Urquiza prediction for October 3, 2026, in Argentina's Primera C Metropolitana points to an away win, with Justo Jose Urquiza holding a 55% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time, and based on head-to-head dominance and recent form, the visitors are clear favorites despite Puerto Nuevo's home advantage.

Team Form

Puerto Nuevo enter this fixture in dreadful shape, having lost four of their last five matches. Their recent results read L, L, L, L, W – the sole win coming away at Leandro Niceforo Alem (3-0) on August 30. At home, they have been particularly vulnerable, losing to Deportivo Paraguayo (2-3) and CA Lugano (0-1) in their last two outings at their own ground.

Justo Jose Urquiza's form is mixed but noticeably more stable. Their last five: L, D, D, W, L. They managed goalless draws against Defensores de Cambaceres and General Lamadrid, and a 2-0 home win over Juventud Unida San Miguel. While not spectacular, this record suggests they are harder to beat than Puerto Nuevo.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Justo Jose Urquiza. In the last six meetings, Puerto Nuevo have won just twice, while Justo Jose Urquiza have claimed four victories, with no draws. The most recent clash, on June 6, 2026, saw Puerto Nuevo snatch a 1-0 away win, but that remains an exception in a rivalry dominated by the away side.

• Jun 6, 2026: Justo Jose Urquiza 0-1 Puerto Nuevo
• Jun 22, 2025: Justo Jose Urquiza 2-0 Puerto Nuevo
• Mar 8, 2025: Puerto Nuevo 1-2 Justo Jose Urquiza
• Mar 27, 2024: Puerto Nuevo 0-1 Justo Jose Urquiza
• Aug 20, 2023: Puerto Nuevo 0-2 Justo Jose Urquiza

League Table Positions

Neither side features in the top 12 of the overall Primera C Metropolitana standings, but the away table reveals an interesting detail: Puerto Nuevo sit 3rd in the away rankings with 24 points from 15 games (6 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). However, they are absent from the top 8 in the home standings, underlining their struggles at their own stadium. Justo Jose Urquiza do not appear in any top-8 list, indicating a mid-table position, but their away form has been competitive enough to make them favourites here.

Win Probability: Puerto Nuevo or Justo Jose Urquiza?

After analysing all available data, the win probabilities are as follows: Puerto Nuevo 20%, Draw 25%, Justo Jose Urquiza 55%. The calculation is based on the head-to-head record (four wins for Justo Jose Urquiza in six games), current form (Puerto Nuevo's four losses in five), and the home/away factor – Puerto Nuevo's poor home performances versus Justo Jose Urquiza's ability to grind out draws on the road. The visitors are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. Based on the stats, the smart prediction is an away win for Justo Jose Urquiza. The head-to-head dominance, combined with Puerto Nuevo's alarming home form, makes the visitors the value pick. A draw cannot be ruled out given Justo Jose Urquiza's two recent stalemates, but the probability model strongly favours the away side.