| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 59:21 | +38 | 68 | |
| 2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 57:20 | +37 | 63 | |
| 3 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 46:29 | +17 | 52 | |
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 45:37 | +8 | 51 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 45 | |
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | +2 | 44 | |
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:39 | +1 | 41 | |
| 8 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 35 | |
| 9 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 33 | |
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 | |
| 12 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 27 | |
| 13 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:39 | -11 | 26 | |
| 14 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 | |
| 15 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 | |
| 16 | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 24 |
Our Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kaisar Kyzylorda prediction examines the Kazakhstan Premier League clash on Oct 17 at 12:00. With both teams battling in the lower reaches and their recent head-to-head history showing nothing but draws, the match is forecast to finish all square. The draw is the most likely outcome, with a 38% probability, while each side holds a 31% chance of winning.
Zhetysu Taldykorgan have lost four of their last five games, with results reading L, L, L, W, L. The only bright spot was a 1-0 home win against Irtysh Pavlodar on Sep 5.
Over this period, they scored just 3 goals and conceded 8, failing to find the net in three of the five matches. Home form has been modest at best, with only one win in their last three at this ground and back-to-back home defeats recently.
Kaisar Kyzylordaโs last five outings resulted in L, D, W, L, L, a record almost as poor as their hostsโ. They managed a 1-0 home victory over Atyrau on Sep 12 and a 1-1 draw at Kyzylzhar shortly after.
They have conceded 11 goals in this stretch โ an average of 2.2 per game โ while scoring 5. The heavy 4-1 defeat against league leaders Ordabasy and a 2-0 loss to FC Altai highlight notable defensive frailties.
The two most recent meetings between these sides both ended in 1-1 draws:
No team has won in two attempts (0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins). This balanced history, combined with the current form, makes another draw a very plausible scenario.
Neither Zhetysu Taldykorgan nor Kaisar Kyzylorda appears among the top 12 of the Kazakhstan Premier League. The leaders are Ordabasy (61 points) and Kairat Almaty (60 points), with heavyweights Astana, Aktobe and Okzhetpes filling the top half. The absence of both clubs from the standings list indicates they are in the relegation-threatened zone, likely in the bottom three or four positions. This match is therefore a relegation six-pointer with high stakes, even though the quality on show points to a low-scoring battle.
Our win probability calculation for this encounter is derived from the head-to-head record, current form, and the home/away factor. Without available bookmaker odds, we assign weights primarily to the two successive 1-1 H2H draws and both teamsโ poor run of results. The probabilities are:
The draw is the most likely match outcome, accounting for more than a third of the probability. Zhetysuโs slight home advantage is negated by their weak home form, and Kaisarโs away form is also unreliable, leaving little separation between the two. Statistically, the smart money would be on the points being shared.
Odds for the 1X2 market are not currently available from our data source. Once bookmakers release prices, the draw is expected to be a narrow favourite given the H2H record and form. Our betting tip is therefore a draw, and with both H2H meetings finishing 1-1, the correct score 1-1 is an intriguing longshot. A low goals market (under 2.5 total goals) also fits the pattern โ Zhetysu have failed to score in three of their last five, while Kaisar have conceded heavily but also struggle for consistency in attack. Keep checking the odds when they appear, but the data points firmly to a stalemate.