Mombasa United - Kakamega Homeboyz prediction 14 October 2026
Mombasa United
Kakamega Homeboyz
Mara SugarMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKakamega HomeboyzKariobangi SharksMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKariobangi SharksNaivasMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedNzoia Sugar FCLuanda VillaMombasa UnitedMombasa United3K FCMombasa UnitedNairobi City StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthMombasa UnitedSoy United FCKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedVihiga United Mulembe UtdMombasa UnitedMCF Mully Children FamilyMombasa UnitedKabati Youth FCKakamega HomeboyzUlinzi StarsMombasa UnitedKakamega HomeboyzAFC Leopards SCKakamega HomeboyzTuskerKakamega HomeboyzKenya Police FCKakamega HomeboyzKariobangi SharksKakamega HomeboyzKakamega HomeboyzAFC Leopards SCMuranga SealKakamega HomeboyzKakamega HomeboyzGor MahiaKenya Commercial BankKakamega HomeboyzShabana FCKakamega HomeboyzKakamega HomeboyzUlinzi StarsNairobi UnitedKakamega HomeboyzKakamega HomeboyzMathare UnitedPosta RangersKakamega HomeboyzMombasa UnitedKakamega Homeboyz| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction (Oct 14)
This Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz prediction for the Kenya Premier League match on Oct 14, 2026 at 13:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, Kakamega Homeboyz is slightly more likely to win with a 37% chance, while Mombasa United has a 31% chance and the draw is at 32%.
Team Form
Mombasa United's last five results are L, W, D, W, L. In their most recent Premier League fixture on Oct 6, they lost 2-1 away to Kariobangi Sharks. Earlier on Oct 1, they beat Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 at home. Their Super League results include a 1-1 away draw with Naivas on Jun 13, a 1-0 home win over Nzoia Sugar FC on Jun 7, and a 1-0 away loss to Luanda Villa on Jun 1.
Kakamega Homeboyz are draw-heavy with D, D, D, D, L in their last five. They drew 0-0 away at AFC Leopards SC on Oct 3 and 0-0 away at Tusker on Sep 11. Earlier, they drew 1-1 away at Kenya Police FC on May 31 and 2-2 away at Kariobangi Sharks on May 23. The only defeat in that run was a 1-2 home loss to AFC Leopards SC on May 16.
Head-to-Head Record
The supplied head-to-head record shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. There are no recorded previous meetings between Mombasa United and Kakamega Homeboyz in this dataset.
League Table Positions
Neither Mombasa United nor Kakamega Homeboyz appears in the provided standings, so a direct table-position comparison is not available. The early-season table shows Tusker first with 3 points after one match, but no rank data is provided for these two teams.
Win Probability: Mombasa United or Kakamega Homeboyz?
The 1X2 odds from two listed bookmakers are 2.90 / 2.85 / 2.32 and 3.00 / 2.90 / 2.30. Those odds imply a base probability of around 30% for Mombasa United, 31% for the draw, and 39% for Kakamega Homeboyz before removing the bookmaker margin. After adjusting for Mombasa United's home advantage and Kakamega Homeboyz's four draws in five matches, Mombasa United has a 31% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Kakamega Homeboyz has a 37% chance.
Conclusion: Kakamega Homeboyz is more likely to win, but only narrowly. The draw is a strong possibility because Kakamega Homeboyz have drawn four of their last five matches.
Odds & Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction
Bookmakers see Kakamega Homeboyz as the favorite, with away odds of 2.32 and 2.30 compared with 2.90 and 3.00 for Mombasa United. The draw is priced at 2.85 and 2.90. A third listed 1X2 set shows 1.10 for all three outcomes, but that line is inconsistent with the other bookmakers.
- Mombasa United win: 2.90 / 3.00
- Draw: 2.85 / 2.90
- Kakamega Homeboyz win: 2.32 / 2.30
Based on the stats, the best match prediction is a narrow Kakamega Homeboyz win or a draw. For betting tips, the away win or double chance X2 best reflects the win probabilities.
Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz โ FAQ
- Who will win Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz?
- Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head data, Mombasa United has a 31% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Kakamega Homeboyz has a 37% chance. Kakamega Homeboyz is the more likely winner, but only by a small margin.
- What is the win probability for Kakamega Homeboyz?
- Kakamega Homeboyz has a 37% chance of winning this match. Bookmakers also make them the favorite with away odds of 2.32 and 2.30.
- When is the Mombasa United vs Kakamega Homeboyz match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 13:00 in the Kenya Premier League. It is a Premier League fixture between Mombasa United and Kakamega Homeboyz.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds include 2.90 for Mombasa United, 2.85 for the draw, and 2.32 for Kakamega Homeboyz at one bookmaker. Another bookmaker lists 3.00, 2.90, and 2.30, and a third lists 1.10, 1.11, and 1.10.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mombasa United and Kakamega Homeboyz?
- The head-to-head record is 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. No previous meetings between these teams are recorded in the data.