Degerfors IF - Kalmar FF prediction 19 October 2026

The Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction for October 19, 2026, points towards an away win for Kalmar FF, who hold a 45% probability of victory in this Allsvenskan clash at Stora Valla. Bookmakers and head-to-head history both suggest Kalmar FF are the likely winners, despite Degerfors IF having the home advantage.

Team Form

Degerfors IF come into this match with a shaky recent record. Their last five Allsvenskan results show one win, one draw, and three losses (D, L, L, W, L). The 1-1 draw away at Mjallby AIF on October 10 ended a two-game losing streak, but they have failed to score in three of those five matches.

Kalmar FF's form is even more concerning. They have lost four of their last five competitive matches (L, D, L, L, L), with the only respite being a 0-0 friendly draw at IFK Norrkoping. A heavy 5-0 home defeat to Hacken on September 20 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

History heavily favors Kalmar FF. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Kalmar FF have won 8 times, while Degerfors IF have only 2 victories, with no draws. The most recent encounter on May 23, 2026, saw Kalmar FF win 2-1 at home. Degerfors IF's last win in this fixture was a 2-1 home victory in July 2022.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the provided Allsvenskan overall standings, indicating both are likely in the lower half of the table. The available data shows the top 12 teams, with Sirius leading on 55 points. The absence of Degerfors IF and Kalmar FF from this list suggests they are battling near the relegation zone, making this a crucial match for both sides.

Win Probability: Degerfors IF or Kalmar FF?

Based on the available odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Degerfors IF has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Kalmar FF has a 45% chance of winning. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.20, draw 2.24, away 2.30) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Kalmar FF's overwhelming 8-2 head-to-head advantage significantly boosts their probability, while Degerfors IF's home status and Kalmar FF's poor recent form prevent the away side's chances from being even higher.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The best available odds for a Degerfors IF win are 3.20, a draw is priced at 2.24, and a Kalmar FF away victory is at 2.30. These odds imply a close contest, but the market slightly favors Kalmar FF. Our Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction is an away win, based on the stats and Kalmar FF's historical dominance in this fixture.