Kalmar FF - Hacken prediction 20 September 2026

The Kalmar FF vs Hacken prediction for the Allsvenskan match on Sep 20 at 12:00 points to a closely contested game. Based on the stats, Hacken is the slight favorite with a 37% win probability, while Kalmar FF has a 28% chance and the draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Kalmar FF's recent form is worrying. They have lost three of their last five matches (L, L, L, D, W), with the only win coming in a Cup game against Angelholms FF. In the league, they suffered defeats to Elfsborg, Djurgardens IF, and Halmstads BK, and managed a goalless draw at Vasteras SK.

Hacken's form is more balanced. Their last five results are D, D, L, W, W. They drew with Mjallby AIF and GAIS Goteborg, lost at home to Vasteras SK, but won against Utsiktens BK (Cup) and Sirius away. Hacken have lost just once in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Hacken dominate with 13 wins to Kalmar FF's 5, alongside 4 draws. However, recent meetings tell a different story. Kalmar FF are unbeaten in the last five encounters, winning three and drawing two. The most recent clash on Aug 01, 2026, ended 1-1 at Hacken. Before that, Kalmar FF won 1-0 at home in both 2024 and 2023, and also won 3-1 away in April 2023.

League Table Positions

Hacken sit 6th in the Allsvenskan with 33 points from 21 matches (8 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses). Kalmar FF are outside the top 12, indicating a lower league position. At home, Kalmar FF rank 8th with 17 points from 10 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Hacken's away form is solid: 6th in the away table with 16 points from 10 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses).

Kalmar FF vs Hacken Prediction: Win Probability

We calculate the win probabilities by starting with the inverse of the average odds (home 2.74, draw 2.31, away 2.58), normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusting for form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The result: Kalmar FF has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Hacken has a 37% chance. Hacken's stronger league standing, better recent form, and overall H2H dominance give them the edge, but Kalmar FF's recent H2H success and home advantage keep the match very open.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average match odds are: Kalmar FF 2.74, Draw 2.31, Hacken 2.58. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that Hacken are the most probable winners, but a draw is almost equally likely. A low-scoring game could be on the cards, given both teams' recent results.