Mjallby AIF - Kalmar FF prediction 2 November 2026

The Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF prediction for this Allsvenskan match on Jul 25, 2026 at 15:30 local time at Guldfågeln Arena is a closely contested affair. Kalmar FF have a 38% chance of winning, while Mjallby AIF have a 32% chance, and the draw is at 30%. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

Kalmar FF's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches (L-W-W-L-W). At home, they have been strong, defeating Orgryte 3-0 on Jul 5 and Degerfors IF 2-1 on May 23. Their only home league loss came earlier in the season. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 defeat at Hammarby IF on Jul 12 and a 3-0 loss at GAIS Goteborg on May 30. Mjallby AIF, on the other hand, are winless in their last five outings (D-L-D-L-D). They drew 0-0 at home to Vasteras SK on Jul 17, lost 1-2 at home to AIK on Jul 11, and played a high-scoring 4-4 draw at Sirius on Jul 3. Their away form has been inconsistent, with only two wins from seven away league matches, conceding 12 goals in those games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Mjallby AIF. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Mjallby have won four and drawn one. Notably, they beat Kalmar FF 3-0 in the most recent Allsvenskan encounter at Guldfågeln Arena in October 2024. Overall, Mjallby have 11 wins compared to Kalmar's 4 in their history, with 4 draws. The last Kalmar victory over Mjallby came before the data period covered here.

League Table Positions

In the Allsvenskan standings, Mjallby AIF sit 10th with 17 points from 13 matches (4 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses), while Kalmar FF are 12th with 13 points from 12 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses). However, Kalmar's home form is impressive: they are 4th in the home table with 13 points from 6 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 10 goals scored, 4 conceded). Mjallby's away record places them 7th, with 10 points from 7 away games (2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 13 goals for, 12 against).

Win Probability: Kalmar FF or Mjallby AIF?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Kalmar FF win: 38%
• Draw: 30%
• Mjallby AIF win: 32%

Kalmar FF's strong home record (4th in home table) and Mjallby's poor recent form (no wins in five) give the hosts a slight edge. However, Mjallby's dominant head-to-head record and slightly higher overall league position keep the contest balanced. The draw probability is significant, reflecting the tight nature of this fixture. Bookmakers' implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were around 35.5% for a home win, 35.3% for a draw, and 29.3% for an away win, but we have adjusted these figures to account for Kalmar's home advantage and Mjallby's historical success in this matchup.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average bookmaker odds for this Allsvenskan clash are: Kalmar FF win at 2.43, draw at 2.44, and Mjallby AIF win at 2.94. These odds imply a very close match, with Kalmar as marginal favorites. Our Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF prediction: based on the stats, Kalmar FF are the most likely winners, but a draw or an away win are realistic outcomes. For betting tips, the home win offers value given Kalmar's home form, but the head-to-head suggests caution. The draw could also be a sensible pick considering Mjallby's recent run of stalemates.