Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki prediction 9 October 2026

The Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki prediction for October 9, 2026, points to a home victory in this J3 League clash at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Based on form, league positions, and bookmaker odds, Sagamihara has a 50% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 30% and Kamatamare Sanuki at 20%.

Team Form

Sagamihara come into this match with a mixed but respectable run: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W, D, L, W, D). Most recently, they beat FC Osaka 1-0 at home on October 3. Away from home, they drew 2-2 with Renofa Yamaguchi and won 3-1 at Matsumoto Yamaga, showing they can score on the road.

Kamatamare Sanuki, in contrast, are in dreadful form. Their last five results read D, L, L, L, L – a single 0-0 home draw with Tochigi SC on October 4, surrounded by four defeats. They have conceded at least two goals in three of those losses, including a 4-3 home loss to Gifu and a 2-0 League Cup exit to JEF United Ichihara Chiba. This poor run makes them clear underdogs.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record slightly favours Kamatamare Sanuki: in 10 meetings, Sagamihara have won just once, with 5 draws and 4 wins for the visitors. The most recent encounter, on September 21, 2025, saw Kamatamare Sanuki win 2-0 at home. Earlier in 2025, Sagamihara drew 1-1 at home. Historically, this fixture has been tight, but the away side has often found joy.

League Table Positions

Sagamihara sit 6th in the J3 League overall standings with 15 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 15 and conceded 10. At home, they are 7th with 8 points from 5 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Kamatamare Sanuki are outside the top 12, indicating a significantly weaker campaign so far. Their exact position is not listed among the top 12, but the gap in points and goal difference is evident.

Win Probability: Sagamihara or Kamatamare Sanuki?

After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for recent form and league standings, the win probabilities are: Sagamihara 50%, Draw 30%, Kamatamare Sanuki 20%. The odds implied a closer contest (around 42% home win), but Kamatamare Sanuki’s five-match winless streak and lowly league position reduce their chances. Sagamihara’s home advantage and superior form make them the most likely winner, though the head-to-head record suggests a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sagamihara as the favourite, with best odds around 1.91 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.15, and an away win for Kamatamare Sanuki at 3.80. These odds reflect the home side’s strength, but the high draw price hints at the competitive history between these teams. Our Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki prediction: based on the stats, Sagamihara should edge this, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win is the most likely outcome.