This Kaposvari Rakoczi vs FC Ajka prediction covers the Cup match on Oct 27, 2026 at 11:30. Based on our analysis, FC Ajka is the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while Kaposvari Rakoczi has a 30% chance and a draw stands at 32%.
Kaposvari Rakoczi (NB III) come into the game on the back of three wins and two losses in their last five matches: a 4-3 away victory over MTK II, a 7-0 home thrashing of Sarbogard SE, and a 1-0 home win against Ivancsa, followed by defeats at Erdi VSE (1-3) and Majosi SE (1-4).
FC Ajka (NB II) have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five: a 2-1 away win at MOL Fehervar, a 1-2 home loss to Bvsc-Zuglo, a 1-1 away draw with Mezokovesd-Zsory, a 3-4 away defeat to Tiszakecske, and a 1-0 home victory over Aqvital Csakvari TK.
The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced. In their only two previous meetings, both teams won their home match by 3-1. The most recent clash was on Apr 25, 2021, when FC Ajka defeated Kaposvari Rakoczi 3-1 at home.
After calculating implied probabilities from bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and home advantage, we assign Kaposvari Rakoczi a 30% chance, a draw a 32% chance, and FC Ajka a 38% chance of victory. The underlying odds make FC Ajka the likeliest winner, but Kaposvariโs strong home form and the H2H home-win pattern keep the contest open.
Bookmakers have priced Kaposvari Rakoczi between 2.75 and 3.04, the draw between 2.40 and 3.94, and FC Ajka between 2.11 and 2.50. Taking the stats into account, the value might lie with the away side or the draw. Our Kaposvari Rakoczi vs FC Ajka prediction: FC Ajka is the most probable winner, but bettors may also consider the double chance on the visitors.